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Pump Detection Quick Reference

🚀 What's a Pump?

Rapid price increase driven by volume spike, momentum, social buzz, or technical setup. Goal: Enter BEFORE the move, not after.

📊 Detection Methods (5-in-1)

Signal	Threshold	Weight	What It Means
Volume Spike	2x+ average	25%	Massive interest surge
Price Acceleration	5%+ recent	20%	Momentum building
Social Buzz	Top trending	15%	Retail FOMO starting
Oversold Bounce	RSI < 30	20%	Bounce potential high
Catalyst Event	Within 3mo	20%	Event-driven pump

🎯 Score = Action

Score	Signal	Action
70+	🔴 VERY HIGH	BUY - Strong entry
50-69	🟠 HIGH	BUY - Risk mgmt
30-49	🟡 MODERATE	WAIT - Need confirmation
<30	🟢 LOW	SKIP - No signals

💰 Position Management

Position Size:  1-2% max per trade
Stop Loss:      2-3% below entry (HARD STOP)
Target 1:       5% profit → Move stop to +2%
Target 2:       10% profit → Reduce to 50%
Target 3:       15%+ profit → Let winners run

⚠️ Critical Rules (DO THIS)

✅ Always set stop loss at entry
✅ Use small position sizes (1-2%)
✅ Exit on volume collapse
✅ Trail stops as profit grows
✅ Keep pump trades separate (max 5-10% portfolio)

🚫 Never Do This

❌ Chase after 50%+ gains
❌ Trade without stop loss
❌ All-in on pump trades
❌ Hold overnight (dump at open)
❌ Ignore volume decline
❌ Use margin on pumps
❌ Fight the momentum

🛠️ Quick Commands

# Demo analysis (cached data)
python pump_detection_demo.py

# Analyze one stock
python pump_screening.py --ticker NVDA

# Analyze on specific date
python pump_screening.py --ticker TSLA --date 2025-12-05

# Full market screening
python pump_screening.py

🎓 Pump Lifecycle

1. Oversold (RSI < 30) or Beaten Down
    ↓
2. Volume Spike (2x+ average)
    ↓
3. Price Acceleration (5-10% in 1-3 days)
    ↓
4. Social Buzz Builds (Reddit, Twitter)
    ↓
5. Peak Euphoria (80-100% move)
    ↓
6. Exhaustion (volume drops)
    ↓
7. Crash (50%+ loss in hours)

BEST ENTRY: Between steps 1-3
WORST ENTRY: Steps 5-6 (too late!)
BEST EXIT: Step 4-5 (take profits before crash)

🚨 Pump-and-Dump Red Flags

These are DANGEROUS - AVOID:

Penny stock (< $5)
Extreme volume (10x+)
Coordinated social hype
Insider selling at peak
No fundamental reason
Stock already up 100%+

📈 Real Example

Date: Dec 5, 2025
Stock: NVDA

Volume: 3.2x average ✅
Price: +12% this week ✅
Social: #1 trending ✅
RSI: 65 (not oversold) ❌
Earnings: Next week ✅

SCORE: 78/100 = BUY SIGNAL

Entry: $950
Stop: $926 (2.5%)
Target 1: $997 (5%)
Target 2: $1045 (10%)
Target 3: $1100+ (15%+)

💡 Pro Tips

Early volume matters most - First 30min spike is key indicator
Social buzz = retail pump - Instagram/TikTok = next wave
Oversold bounces work best - RSI < 20 = strong setup
Catalysts amplify moves - Earnings = bigger pump
Profit in first 5-10% - Most gains happen there
Volume confirmation = stay - Fading volume = exit
Scalp multiple times - Take 2-3% gains repeatedly
Time decay - Pumps usually done in 1-3 days

📋 Pre-Entry Checklist

Before entering ANY pump trade:

Pump score ≥ 50?
Volume spike confirmed?
Stop loss set (2-3%)?
Position size ≤ 2%?
Total pump allocation ≤ 10%?
No overnight holds planned?
Exit plan written down?
Ready to monitor 24/7?

detect_volume_spike() - Find volume surge
detect_price_acceleration() - Find momentum
detect_social_sentiment_surge() - Find buzz
detect_oversold_bounce() - Find setup
detect_catalyst_event() - Find catalysts
calculate_pump_score() - Get final score

📞 When to Skip

Stock halted by SEC
Volume is only <1.5x
No catalyst visible
Been pumping for 5+ days
Already up 200%+
Can't set stop loss
Feel "FOMO" (Sell signal!)

Remember: Discipline beats emotion. Stick to rules. Pump trading is HIGH RISK. Size appropriately.

4.2 KiB Raw Blame History