TradingAgents/docs/iterations/LEARNINGS.md

3.2 KiB

Learnings Index

Last analyzed run: 2026-04-14

Domain File Last Updated One-line Summary
options_flow scanners/options_flow.md 2026-04-12 Premium filter confirmed applied; CSCO cross-scanner confluence detected; 45.1% 7d win rate (94 recs)
insider_buying scanners/insider_buying.md 2026-04-14 Staleness suppression filter added (PAGS/ZBIO/HMH 3-4 day repeats confirmed); 45.9% 7d, negative avg returns
minervini scanners/minervini.md 2026-04-12 Best performer: 100% 1d win rate (n=3), +3.68% avg; 7 candidates in Apr 6-12 week
analyst_upgrades scanners/analyst_upgrades.md 2026-04-12 51.6% 7d win rate (marginal positive); cross-scanner confluence with options_flow is positive signal
earnings_calendar scanners/earnings_calendar.md 2026-04-12 Appears as earnings_play; 38.1% 1d, 37.7% 7d — poor; best setups require high short interest
pipeline/scoring pipeline/scoring.md 2026-04-14 news_catalyst 0% 7d now explicit in ranker criteria; insider staleness filter implemented; 41.9% overall 7d win rate
early_accumulation scanners/early_accumulation.md 2026-04-12 Sub-threshold (score=60); no catalyst → structurally score-capped by ranker
social_dd scanners/social_dd.md 2026-04-14 57.1% 30d win rate (+1.41% avg 30d, n=26) — only scanner positive at 30d; eval horizon mismatch persists
volume_accumulation scanners/volume_accumulation.md No data yet
short_squeeze scanners/short_squeeze.md 2026-04-14 60% 7d win rate (n=11), best 7d performer; BUT 30% 30d — short-term signal only, degrades at 30d
earnings_beat scanners/earnings_beat.md 2026-04-14 New PEAD scanner: recent EPS beats ≥5% surprise; 15% annualized academic edge; distinct from earnings_calendar

Research

Title File Date Summary
OBV Divergence Accumulation research/2026-04-14-obv-divergence.md 2026-04-14 OBV rising while price flat/down = multi-week institutional accumulation; qualitative 68% win rate; implemented as obv_divergence scanner
Short Interest Squeeze Scanner research/2026-04-12-short-interest-squeeze.md 2026-04-12 High SI (>20%) + DTC >5 as squeeze-risk discovery; implemented as short_squeeze scanner
52-Week High Breakout Momentum research/2026-04-13-52-week-high-breakout.md 2026-04-13 George & Hwang (2004) validated: 52w high crossing + 1.5x volume = 72% win rate, +11.4% avg over 31d; implemented as high_52w_breakout scanner
PEAD Post-Earnings Drift research/2026-04-14-pead-earnings-beat.md 2026-04-14 Bernard & Thomas (1989): 18% annualized PEAD; QuantPedia: 15% annualized (1987-2004); implemented as earnings_beat scanner (distinct from earnings_calendar's upcoming-only scope)
reddit_dd scanners/reddit_dd.md No data yet
reddit_trending scanners/reddit_trending.md No data yet
semantic_news scanners/semantic_news.md No data yet
market_movers scanners/market_movers.md No data yet
technical_breakout scanners/technical_breakout.md No data yet
sector_rotation scanners/sector_rotation.md No data yet
ml_signal scanners/ml_signal.md No data yet