TradingAgents/docs/iterations/scanners/early_accumulation.md

Early Accumulation Scanner

Current Understanding

Detects quiet accumulation patterns: rising OBV, price above 50/200 SMA, low ATR (low volatility), and bullish MACD crossover — without requiring a strong near-term catalyst. Designed for slow-grind setups rather than explosive moves. The absence of an immediate catalyst structurally limits the LLM's score assignment, since the ranker rewards urgency and specificity. This may cause systematic under-scoring relative to true edge.

Evidence Log

2026-04-12 — Fast-loop (2026-04-12 run)

• Single appearance: FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust), score=60, conf=6, risk_level=low.
• Thesis: +1.55% daily price move, OBV 12.3M rising, MACD crossover, ATR 1.7% (low risk).
• Score sub-threshold (60 < 65). Key weakness per thesis: "lack of immediate catalysts" and overbought Stochastic (88.7).
• Pattern observation: early_accumulation may be structurally score-capped by ranker's catalyst-weighting. A score of 60 with conf=6 on a low-risk setup may represent miscalibration rather than poor edge.
• 0 mature recommendations (no recommendation generated from this appearance).
• Confidence: low (single data point, no outcome data)

Pending Hypotheses

• Does early_accumulation systematically score 55-65 due to ranker penalizing "no catalyst"? If so, the scoring.md penalty logic may need adjustment.
• Do early_accumulation setups produce better 30d returns than 7d returns (slow-grind nature)?
• Is the overbought Stochastic reading a reliable short-term timing filter to delay entry?