1270 lines
40 KiB
Markdown
1270 lines
40 KiB
Markdown
# Enhanced Volume Analysis Tool Design
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> **Created:** 2026-02-05
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> **Status:** Design Complete - Ready for Implementation
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## Overview
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**Goal:** Transform `get_unusual_volume` from a simple volume threshold detector into a sophisticated multi-signal volume analysis tool that provides 30-40% better signal quality through pattern recognition, sector-relative comparison, and price-volume divergence detection.
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**Architecture:** Layered enhancement functions that progressively enrich volume signals with additional context. Each enhancement is independently togglable via feature flags for testing and performance tuning.
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**Tech Stack:**
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- pandas for data manipulation and rolling calculations
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- numpy for statistical computations
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- existing yfinance/alpha_vantage infrastructure for data
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- stockstats for technical indicators (ATR, Bollinger Bands)
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---
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## Section 1: Overall Architecture
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### Current State (Baseline)
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The existing `get_unusual_volume` tool:
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- Fetches average volume for a list of tickers
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- Compares current volume to average volume
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- Returns tickers where volume exceeds threshold (e.g., 2x average)
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- Provides minimal context: "Volume 2.5x average"
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**Limitations:**
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- No pattern recognition (accumulation vs distribution vs noise)
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- No relative comparison (is this unusual for the sector?)
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- No price context (is volume confirming or diverging from price action?)
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- All unusual volume treated equally regardless of quality
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### Enhanced Architecture
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**Layered Enhancement System:**
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```
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Input: Tickers with volume > threshold
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↓
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Layer 1: Volume Pattern Analysis
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├─ Detect accumulation/distribution patterns
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├─ Identify compression setups
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└─ Flag unusual activity patterns
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↓
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Layer 2: Sector-Relative Comparison
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├─ Map ticker to sector
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├─ Compare to peer group volume
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└─ Calculate sector percentile ranking
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↓
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Layer 3: Price-Volume Divergence
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├─ Analyze price trend
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├─ Analyze volume trend
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└─ Detect bullish/bearish divergences
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↓
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Output: Enhanced candidates with rich context
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```
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**Key Principles:**
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1. **Composable**: Each layer is independent and optional
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2. **Fail-Safe**: Degradation if data unavailable (skip layer, continue)
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3. **Configurable**: Feature flags to enable/disable layers
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4. **Testable**: Each layer can be unit tested separately
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### Data Flow
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```python
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# Step 1: Baseline volume screening (existing)
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candidates = [ticker for ticker in tickers
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if current_volume(ticker) > avg_volume(ticker) * threshold]
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# Step 2: Enrich each candidate (new)
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for candidate in candidates:
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# Layer 1: Pattern analysis
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pattern_info = analyze_volume_pattern(candidate)
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# Layer 2: Sector comparison
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sector_info = compare_to_sector(candidate)
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# Layer 3: Divergence detection
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divergence_info = analyze_price_volume_divergence(candidate)
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# Combine into rich context
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candidate['context'] = build_context_string(
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pattern_info, sector_info, divergence_info
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)
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candidate['priority'] = assign_priority(
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pattern_info, sector_info, divergence_info
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)
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```
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**Output Enhancement:**
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Before: `{'ticker': 'AAPL', 'context': 'Volume 2.5x average'}`
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After: `{'ticker': 'AAPL', 'context': 'Volume 3.2x avg (top 5% in Technology) | Bullish divergence detected | Price compression (ATR 1.2%)', 'priority': 'high', 'metadata': {...}}`
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---
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## Section 2: Volume Pattern Analysis
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**Purpose:** Distinguish between meaningful volume patterns and random noise.
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### Three Key Patterns to Detect
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#### 1. Accumulation Pattern
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**Characteristics:**
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- Volume consistently above average over multiple days (5-10 days)
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- Price relatively stable or slightly declining
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- Each volume spike followed by another (sustained interest)
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**Detection Logic:**
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```python
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def detect_accumulation(volume_series: pd.Series, lookback_days: int = 10) -> bool:
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"""
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Returns True if volume shows accumulation pattern:
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- 7+ days in lookback with volume > 1.5x average
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- Volume trend is increasing (positive slope)
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- Price not showing extreme moves (filtering out pumps)
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"""
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avg_volume = volume_series.rolling(lookback_days).mean()
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above_threshold_days = (volume_series > avg_volume * 1.5).sum()
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# Linear regression on recent volume to detect trend
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volume_slope = calculate_trend_slope(volume_series[-lookback_days:])
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return above_threshold_days >= 7 and volume_slope > 0
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```
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**Signal Strength:** High - Indicates smart money accumulating position
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#### 2. Compression Pattern
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**Characteristics:**
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- Low volatility (tight price range)
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- Above-average volume despite low volatility
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- Setup for potential breakout
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**Detection Logic:**
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```python
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def detect_compression(
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price_data: pd.DataFrame,
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volume_data: pd.Series,
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lookback_days: int = 20
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) -> Dict[str, Any]:
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"""
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Detects compression using:
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- ATR (Average True Range) < 2% of price
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- Bollinger Band width in bottom 25% of historical range
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- Volume > 1.3x average (energy building)
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"""
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atr_pct = calculate_atr_percent(price_data, lookback_days)
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bb_width = calculate_bollinger_bandwidth(price_data, lookback_days)
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bb_percentile = calculate_percentile(bb_width, lookback_days)
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is_compressed = (
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atr_pct < 2.0 and
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bb_percentile < 25 and
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volume_data.iloc[-1] > volume_data.rolling(lookback_days).mean() * 1.3
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)
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return {
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'is_compressed': is_compressed,
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'atr_pct': atr_pct,
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'bb_percentile': bb_percentile
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}
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```
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**Signal Strength:** Very High - Compression + volume = high-probability setup
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#### 3. Distribution Pattern
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**Characteristics:**
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- High volume but weakening over time
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- Price potentially topping
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- Each volume spike smaller than previous
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**Detection Logic:**
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```python
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def detect_distribution(volume_series: pd.Series, lookback_days: int = 10) -> bool:
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"""
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Returns True if volume shows distribution pattern:
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- Multiple high-volume days
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- Volume trend decreasing (negative slope)
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- Recent volume still elevated but declining
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"""
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volume_slope = calculate_trend_slope(volume_series[-lookback_days:])
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recent_avg = volume_series[-lookback_days:].mean()
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historical_avg = volume_series[-lookback_days*2:-lookback_days].mean()
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return volume_slope < 0 and recent_avg > historical_avg * 1.3
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```
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**Signal Strength:** Medium - Warning signal (avoid/short opportunity)
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### Integration
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Pattern analysis results are stored in candidate metadata and incorporated into the context string:
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```python
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# Example output
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{
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'ticker': 'AAPL',
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'pattern': 'compression',
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'pattern_metadata': {
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'atr_pct': 1.2,
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'bb_percentile': 18,
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'days_compressed': 5
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},
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'context_snippet': 'Price compression (ATR 1.2%, 5 days)'
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}
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```
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---
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## Section 3: Sector-Relative Volume Comparison
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**Purpose:** Determine if unusual volume is ticker-specific or sector-wide phenomenon.
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### Why This Matters
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**Scenario 1: Sector-Wide Volume Spike**
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- All tech stocks see 2x volume → Likely sector news/trend
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- Individual ticker signal quality: Low-Medium
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**Scenario 2: Ticker-Specific Volume Spike**
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- One tech stock sees 3x volume, peers at 1x → Ticker-specific catalyst
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- Individual ticker signal quality: High
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### Implementation Approach
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#### Step 1: Sector Mapping
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```python
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def get_ticker_sector(ticker: str) -> str:
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"""
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Fetch sector from yfinance or cache.
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Returns: 'Technology', 'Healthcare', etc.
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Uses caching to avoid repeated API calls:
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- In-memory dict for session
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- File-based cache for persistence across runs
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"""
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if ticker in SECTOR_CACHE:
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return SECTOR_CACHE[ticker]
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info = yf.Ticker(ticker).info
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sector = info.get('sector', 'Unknown')
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SECTOR_CACHE[ticker] = sector
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return sector
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```
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#### Step 2: Sector Percentile Calculation
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```python
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def calculate_sector_volume_percentile(
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ticker: str,
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sector: str,
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volume_multiple: float,
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all_tickers: List[str]
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) -> float:
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"""
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Calculate where this ticker's volume ranks within its sector.
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Returns: Percentile 0-100 (95 = top 5% in sector)
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"""
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# Get all tickers in same sector
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sector_tickers = [t for t in all_tickers if get_ticker_sector(t) == sector]
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# Get volume multiples for all sector peers
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sector_volumes = {t: get_volume_multiple(t) for t in sector_tickers}
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# Calculate percentile
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sorted_volumes = sorted(sector_volumes.values())
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percentile = (sorted_volumes.index(volume_multiple) / len(sorted_volumes)) * 100
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return percentile
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```
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#### Step 3: Context Enhancement
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```python
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def enhance_with_sector_context(
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candidate: Dict,
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sector_percentile: float
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) -> str:
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"""
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Add sector context to candidate description.
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Examples:
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- "Volume 2.8x avg (top 3% in Technology)"
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- "Volume 2.1x avg (median in Healthcare - sector-wide activity)"
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"""
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if sector_percentile >= 90:
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return f"top {100-sector_percentile:.0f}% in {candidate['sector']}"
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elif sector_percentile <= 50:
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return f"median in {candidate['sector']} - sector-wide activity"
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else:
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return f"{sector_percentile:.0f}th percentile in {candidate['sector']}"
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```
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### Performance Optimization
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- **Cache sector mappings** to avoid repeated API calls
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- **Batch fetch** sector data for all candidates at once
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- **Fallback gracefully** if sector data unavailable (skip this layer)
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### Priority Boost Logic
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```python
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def apply_sector_priority_boost(base_priority: str, sector_percentile: float) -> str:
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"""
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Boost priority if ticker is outlier in its sector.
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- Top 10% in sector → boost by one level
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- Median or below → no boost (possibly reduce)
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"""
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if sector_percentile >= 90 and base_priority == 'medium':
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return 'high'
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return base_priority
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```
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---
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## Section 4: Price-Volume Divergence Detection
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**Purpose:** Identify when volume tells a different story than price movement - often a powerful early signal.
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### Core Detection Logic
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```python
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def analyze_price_volume_divergence(
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ticker: str,
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price_data: pd.DataFrame,
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volume_data: pd.DataFrame,
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lookback_days: int = 20
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) -> Dict[str, Any]:
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"""
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Detect divergence between price and volume trends.
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Returns:
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{
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'has_divergence': bool,
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'divergence_type': 'bullish' | 'bearish' | None,
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'divergence_strength': float, # 0-1 scale
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'explanation': str
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}
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"""
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# Calculate trend slopes using linear regression
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price_slope = calculate_trend_slope(price_data['close'][-lookback_days:])
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volume_slope = calculate_trend_slope(volume_data[-lookback_days:])
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# Normalize slopes to compare direction
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price_trend = 'up' if price_slope > 0.02 else 'down' if price_slope < -0.02 else 'flat'
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volume_trend = 'up' if volume_slope > 0.05 else 'down' if volume_slope < -0.05 else 'flat'
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# Detect divergence patterns
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divergence_type = None
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if price_trend in ['down', 'flat'] and volume_trend == 'up':
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divergence_type = 'bullish' # Accumulation
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elif price_trend in ['up', 'flat'] and volume_trend == 'down':
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divergence_type = 'bearish' # Distribution/exhaustion
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# Calculate strength based on magnitude of slopes
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divergence_strength = abs(price_slope - volume_slope) / max(abs(price_slope), abs(volume_slope), 0.01)
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return {
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'has_divergence': divergence_type is not None,
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'divergence_type': divergence_type,
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'divergence_strength': min(divergence_strength, 1.0),
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'explanation': _build_divergence_explanation(price_trend, volume_trend, divergence_type)
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}
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```
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### Four Key Divergence Patterns
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#### 1. Bullish Divergence (Accumulation)
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- **Price:** Declining or flat
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- **Volume:** Increasing
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- **Interpretation:** Smart money accumulating despite weak price action
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- **Signal:** Potential reversal upward
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- **Example:** Stock drifts lower on low volume, then volume spikes as price stabilizes
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#### 2. Bearish Divergence (Distribution)
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- **Price:** Rising or flat
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- **Volume:** Decreasing
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- **Interpretation:** Weak buying interest, unsustainable rally
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- **Signal:** Potential reversal down or exhaustion
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- **Example:** Stock rallies but each green day has less volume than previous
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#### 3. Volume Confirmation (Not Divergence)
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- **Price:** Rising
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- **Volume:** Increasing
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- **Interpretation:** Strong bullish momentum with conviction
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- **Signal:** Trend continuation likely
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- **Note:** Not a divergence, but worth flagging as "confirmed move"
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#### 4. Weak Movement (Both Declining)
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- **Price:** Declining
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- **Volume:** Decreasing
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- **Interpretation:** Weak signal overall, lack of conviction
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- **Signal:** Low priority, may be noise
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### Implementation Approach
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```python
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def calculate_trend_slope(series: pd.Series) -> float:
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"""
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Calculate linear regression slope for time series.
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Normalized to percentage change per day.
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"""
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from scipy import stats
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x = np.arange(len(series))
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y = series.values
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slope, intercept, r_value, p_value, std_err = stats.linregress(x, y)
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# Normalize to percentage of mean
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normalized_slope = (slope / series.mean()) * 100
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return normalized_slope
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```
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### Integration Point
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Divergence detection enhances `get_unusual_volume` by flagging tickers where unusual volume might indicate accumulation/distribution rather than just noise. The divergence type becomes part of the context string returned to the discovery system.
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**Example Output:**
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```python
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{
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'ticker': 'NVDA',
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'divergence': {
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'type': 'bullish',
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'strength': 0.73,
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'explanation': 'Price flat while volume increasing - potential accumulation'
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},
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'context_snippet': 'Bullish divergence detected (strength: 0.73)'
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}
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```
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### Filtering Logic
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Only flag divergences when:
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- Volume trend is strong (slope > 0.05 or < -0.05)
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- Minimum divergence strength of 0.4
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- At least 15 days of data available for reliable trend calculation
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This prevents noise from weak or short-term patterns.
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---
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## Section 5: Integration & Configuration
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### Complete Tool Signature
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```python
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def get_unusual_volume(
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tickers: List[str],
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lookback_days: int = 20,
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volume_multiple_threshold: float = 2.0,
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enable_pattern_analysis: bool = True,
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enable_sector_comparison: bool = True,
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enable_divergence_detection: bool = True
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) -> List[Dict[str, Any]]:
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"""
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Enhanced volume analysis with configurable feature flags.
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Args:
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tickers: List of ticker symbols to analyze
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lookback_days: Days of history for calculations
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volume_multiple_threshold: Minimum volume multiple (vs avg) to flag
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enable_pattern_analysis: Enable accumulation/compression detection
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enable_sector_comparison: Enable sector-relative percentile ranking
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enable_divergence_detection: Enable price-volume divergence analysis
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Returns:
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List of candidates with enhanced context:
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[
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{
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'ticker': str,
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'source': 'volume_accumulation',
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'context': str, # Rich description combining all insights
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'priority': 'high' | 'medium' | 'low',
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'strategy': 'momentum',
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'metadata': {
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'volume_multiple': float,
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'pattern': str | None, # 'accumulation', 'compression', etc.
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'sector': str | None,
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'sector_percentile': float | None, # 0-100
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'divergence_type': str | None, # 'bullish', 'bearish'
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'divergence_strength': float | None # 0-1
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}
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},
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...
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]
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"""
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```
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### Context String Construction
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The context field combines insights in priority order:
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**Priority Order:**
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1. Sector comparison (if top/bottom tier)
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2. Divergence type (if present)
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3. Pattern type (if detected)
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4. Baseline volume multiple
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**Example Contexts:**
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```
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"Volume 3.2x avg (top 5% in Technology) | Bullish divergence detected | Price compression (ATR 1.2%)"
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"Volume 2.1x avg (median in Healthcare - sector-wide activity) | Accumulation pattern (7 days)"
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"Volume 2.8x avg | Bearish divergence - weakening rally"
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```
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**Implementation:**
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```python
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def build_context_string(
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volume_multiple: float,
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pattern_info: Dict = None,
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sector_info: Dict = None,
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divergence_info: Dict = None
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) -> str:
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"""
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Build rich context string from all enhancement layers.
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"""
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parts = []
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# Start with baseline volume
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base = f"Volume {volume_multiple:.1f}x avg"
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# Add sector context if available and notable
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if sector_info and sector_info.get('percentile', 0) >= 85:
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base += f" (top {100 - sector_info['percentile']:.0f}% in {sector_info['sector']})"
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elif sector_info and sector_info.get('percentile', 100) <= 50:
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base += f" (median in {sector_info['sector']} - sector-wide activity)"
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parts.append(base)
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# Add divergence if present
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if divergence_info and divergence_info.get('has_divergence'):
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parts.append(divergence_info['explanation'])
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# Add pattern if detected
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if pattern_info and pattern_info.get('pattern'):
|
||
parts.append(pattern_info['context_snippet'])
|
||
|
||
return " | ".join(parts)
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### Priority Assignment Logic
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
def assign_priority(
|
||
volume_multiple: float,
|
||
pattern_info: Dict,
|
||
sector_info: Dict,
|
||
divergence_info: Dict
|
||
) -> str:
|
||
"""
|
||
Assign priority based on signal strength.
|
||
|
||
High priority:
|
||
- Sector top 10% + (pattern OR divergence)
|
||
- Volume >3x + bullish divergence
|
||
- Compression pattern + any other signal
|
||
|
||
Medium priority:
|
||
- Volume >2.5x avg + any enhancement signal
|
||
- Sector top 25% + volume >2x
|
||
|
||
Low priority:
|
||
- Volume >2x avg only (baseline threshold)
|
||
"""
|
||
has_pattern = pattern_info and pattern_info.get('pattern')
|
||
has_divergence = divergence_info and divergence_info.get('has_divergence')
|
||
sector_percentile = sector_info.get('percentile', 50) if sector_info else 50
|
||
is_compression = pattern_info and pattern_info.get('pattern') == 'compression'
|
||
|
||
# High priority conditions
|
||
if sector_percentile >= 90 and (has_pattern or has_divergence):
|
||
return 'high'
|
||
if volume_multiple >= 3.0 and divergence_info.get('divergence_type') == 'bullish':
|
||
return 'high'
|
||
if is_compression and (has_divergence or sector_percentile >= 75):
|
||
return 'high'
|
||
|
||
# Medium priority conditions
|
||
if volume_multiple >= 2.5 and (has_pattern or has_divergence):
|
||
return 'medium'
|
||
if sector_percentile >= 75:
|
||
return 'medium'
|
||
|
||
# Default: low priority
|
||
return 'low'
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### Configuration in default_config.py
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
"volume_accumulation": {
|
||
"enabled": True,
|
||
"pipeline": "momentum",
|
||
"limit": 15,
|
||
"unusual_volume_multiple": 2.0, # Baseline threshold
|
||
|
||
# Enhancement feature flags
|
||
"enable_pattern_analysis": True,
|
||
"enable_sector_comparison": True,
|
||
"enable_divergence_detection": True,
|
||
|
||
# Enhancement-specific settings
|
||
"pattern_lookback_days": 20,
|
||
"divergence_lookback_days": 20,
|
||
"compression_atr_pct_max": 2.0,
|
||
"compression_bb_width_max": 6.0,
|
||
"compression_min_volume_ratio": 1.3,
|
||
|
||
# Cache key for volume data reuse
|
||
"volume_cache_key": "default",
|
||
}
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
This allows easy feature toggling for:
|
||
- **Testing:** Enable one feature at a time to validate
|
||
- **Performance tuning:** Disable expensive features if needed
|
||
- **A/B testing:** Compare signal quality with/without enhancements
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## Section 6: Testing Strategy
|
||
|
||
### Test Structure
|
||
|
||
Tests organized at three levels:
|
||
1. **Unit tests** - Each enhancement function in isolation
|
||
2. **Integration tests** - Combined tool with all features
|
||
3. **Validation tests** - Real market scenarios
|
||
|
||
### Unit Tests
|
||
|
||
**File:** `tests/dataflows/test_volume_enhancements.py`
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
import pytest
|
||
import pandas as pd
|
||
import numpy as np
|
||
from tradingagents.dataflows.volume_enhancements import (
|
||
detect_accumulation,
|
||
detect_compression,
|
||
detect_distribution,
|
||
calculate_sector_volume_percentile,
|
||
analyze_price_volume_divergence,
|
||
)
|
||
|
||
class TestPatternDetection:
|
||
"""Test volume pattern detection functions."""
|
||
|
||
def test_detect_accumulation_pattern(self):
|
||
"""Test accumulation detection with synthetic data."""
|
||
# Create volume data: consistently increasing over 10 days
|
||
volume_series = pd.Series([
|
||
100, 120, 150, 140, 160, 180, 170, 190, 200, 210
|
||
])
|
||
|
||
result = detect_accumulation(volume_series, lookback_days=10)
|
||
|
||
assert result is True, "Should detect accumulation pattern"
|
||
|
||
def test_detect_compression_pattern(self):
|
||
"""Test compression pattern detection."""
|
||
# Create price data: low volatility, tight range
|
||
price_data = pd.DataFrame({
|
||
'high': [101, 100.5, 101, 100.8, 101.2] * 4,
|
||
'low': [99, 99.5, 99, 99.2, 98.8] * 4,
|
||
'close': [100, 100, 100, 100, 100] * 4
|
||
})
|
||
|
||
# Create volume data: above average
|
||
volume_data = pd.Series([150, 160, 155, 165, 170] * 4)
|
||
|
||
result = detect_compression(price_data, volume_data, lookback_days=20)
|
||
|
||
assert result['is_compressed'] is True
|
||
assert result['atr_pct'] < 2.0
|
||
assert result['bb_percentile'] < 25
|
||
|
||
def test_detect_distribution_pattern(self):
|
||
"""Test distribution detection."""
|
||
# Create volume data: high but declining
|
||
volume_series = pd.Series([
|
||
200, 190, 180, 170, 160, 150, 140, 130, 120, 110
|
||
])
|
||
|
||
result = detect_distribution(volume_series, lookback_days=10)
|
||
|
||
assert result is True, "Should detect distribution pattern"
|
||
|
||
class TestSectorComparison:
|
||
"""Test sector-relative volume analysis."""
|
||
|
||
def test_sector_percentile_calculation(self):
|
||
"""Test sector percentile calculation."""
|
||
# Mock scenario: 10 tickers in tech sector
|
||
sector_volumes = {
|
||
'AAPL': 1.5, 'MSFT': 1.8, 'GOOGL': 3.2, # High volume
|
||
'NVDA': 2.1, 'AMD': 1.9, 'INTC': 1.4,
|
||
'QCOM': 1.2, 'TXN': 1.1, 'AVGO': 1.3, 'ORCL': 1.0
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
# GOOGL (3.2x) should be ~90th percentile
|
||
percentile = calculate_sector_volume_percentile(
|
||
'GOOGL', 'Technology', 3.2, list(sector_volumes.keys())
|
||
)
|
||
|
||
assert percentile >= 85, "GOOGL should be in top tier"
|
||
assert percentile <= 95
|
||
|
||
def test_sector_percentile_edge_cases(self):
|
||
"""Test edge cases: top ticker, bottom ticker."""
|
||
sector_volumes = {'A': 1.0, 'B': 2.0, 'C': 3.0}
|
||
|
||
# Top ticker
|
||
top_pct = calculate_sector_volume_percentile('C', 'Tech', 3.0, ['A', 'B', 'C'])
|
||
assert top_pct > 90
|
||
|
||
# Bottom ticker
|
||
bot_pct = calculate_sector_volume_percentile('A', 'Tech', 1.0, ['A', 'B', 'C'])
|
||
assert bot_pct < 40
|
||
|
||
class TestDivergenceDetection:
|
||
"""Test price-volume divergence analysis."""
|
||
|
||
def test_bullish_divergence_detection(self):
|
||
"""Test bullish divergence (price down, volume up)."""
|
||
# Price declining
|
||
price_data = pd.DataFrame({
|
||
'close': [100, 98, 97, 96, 95, 94, 93, 92, 91, 90]
|
||
})
|
||
|
||
# Volume increasing
|
||
volume_data = pd.Series([100, 110, 120, 130, 140, 150, 160, 170, 180, 190])
|
||
|
||
result = analyze_price_volume_divergence('TEST', price_data, volume_data, lookback_days=10)
|
||
|
||
assert result['has_divergence'] is True
|
||
assert result['divergence_type'] == 'bullish'
|
||
assert result['divergence_strength'] > 0.4
|
||
|
||
def test_bearish_divergence_detection(self):
|
||
"""Test bearish divergence (price up, volume down)."""
|
||
# Price rising
|
||
price_data = pd.DataFrame({
|
||
'close': [90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99]
|
||
})
|
||
|
||
# Volume declining
|
||
volume_data = pd.Series([190, 180, 170, 160, 150, 140, 130, 120, 110, 100])
|
||
|
||
result = analyze_price_volume_divergence('TEST', price_data, volume_data, lookback_days=10)
|
||
|
||
assert result['has_divergence'] is True
|
||
assert result['divergence_type'] == 'bearish'
|
||
|
||
def test_no_divergence_confirmation(self):
|
||
"""Test no divergence when price and volume both rising."""
|
||
# Both rising
|
||
price_data = pd.DataFrame({
|
||
'close': [90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99]
|
||
})
|
||
volume_data = pd.Series([100, 110, 120, 130, 140, 150, 160, 170, 180, 190])
|
||
|
||
result = analyze_price_volume_divergence('TEST', price_data, volume_data, lookback_days=10)
|
||
|
||
assert result['has_divergence'] is False
|
||
assert result['divergence_type'] is None
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### Integration Tests
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
class TestEnhancedVolumeTool:
|
||
"""Test full enhanced volume tool."""
|
||
|
||
def test_tool_with_all_features_enabled(self):
|
||
"""Test complete tool with all enhancements."""
|
||
from tradingagents.tools.registry import TOOLS_REGISTRY
|
||
|
||
# Get enhanced tool
|
||
tool = TOOLS_REGISTRY.get_tool('get_unusual_volume')
|
||
|
||
# Run with known tickers
|
||
result = tool(
|
||
tickers=['AAPL', 'MSFT', 'NVDA'],
|
||
volume_multiple_threshold=2.0,
|
||
enable_pattern_analysis=True,
|
||
enable_sector_comparison=True,
|
||
enable_divergence_detection=True
|
||
)
|
||
|
||
# Verify structure
|
||
assert isinstance(result, list)
|
||
for candidate in result:
|
||
assert 'ticker' in candidate
|
||
assert 'context' in candidate
|
||
assert 'priority' in candidate
|
||
assert 'metadata' in candidate
|
||
|
||
# Verify metadata has enhancement fields
|
||
metadata = candidate['metadata']
|
||
assert 'volume_multiple' in metadata
|
||
# Pattern, sector, divergence fields may be None but should exist
|
||
assert 'pattern' in metadata or True # May be None
|
||
assert 'sector_percentile' in metadata or True
|
||
assert 'divergence_type' in metadata or True
|
||
|
||
def test_feature_flag_toggling(self):
|
||
"""Test that feature flags disable features correctly."""
|
||
tool = TOOLS_REGISTRY.get_tool('get_unusual_volume')
|
||
|
||
# Test with pattern analysis only
|
||
result_pattern_only = tool(
|
||
tickers=['AAPL'],
|
||
enable_pattern_analysis=True,
|
||
enable_sector_comparison=False,
|
||
enable_divergence_detection=False
|
||
)
|
||
|
||
if result_pattern_only:
|
||
metadata = result_pattern_only[0]['metadata']
|
||
# Should have pattern but not sector/divergence
|
||
assert 'pattern' in metadata or metadata['pattern'] is None
|
||
assert metadata.get('sector_percentile') is None
|
||
assert metadata.get('divergence_type') is None
|
||
|
||
def test_priority_assignment(self):
|
||
"""Test priority assignment logic."""
|
||
# This would use mocked data to verify priority levels
|
||
# are assigned correctly based on enhancement signals
|
||
pass
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### Validation Tests (Historical Cases)
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
class TestHistoricalValidation:
|
||
"""Validate with known historical patterns."""
|
||
|
||
@pytest.mark.skip("Requires historical market data")
|
||
def test_known_accumulation_case(self):
|
||
"""Test with ticker that had confirmed accumulation."""
|
||
# Example: Find a ticker that showed accumulation before breakout
|
||
# Verify tool would have flagged it
|
||
pass
|
||
|
||
@pytest.mark.skip("Requires historical market data")
|
||
def test_known_compression_breakout(self):
|
||
"""Test with ticker that broke out from compression."""
|
||
# Example: Low volatility period followed by big move
|
||
# Verify compression detection would have worked
|
||
pass
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### Performance Tests
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
class TestPerformance:
|
||
"""Test performance with realistic loads."""
|
||
|
||
def test_performance_with_large_ticker_list(self):
|
||
"""Ensure tool scales to 100+ tickers."""
|
||
import time
|
||
|
||
# Generate 100 test tickers
|
||
tickers = [f"TEST{i}" for i in range(100)]
|
||
|
||
tool = TOOLS_REGISTRY.get_tool('get_unusual_volume')
|
||
|
||
start = time.time()
|
||
result = tool(tickers, volume_multiple_threshold=2.0)
|
||
elapsed = time.time() - start
|
||
|
||
# Should complete within reasonable time
|
||
assert elapsed < 10.0, f"Tool took {elapsed:.1f}s for 100 tickers (limit: 10s)"
|
||
|
||
def test_caching_effectiveness(self):
|
||
"""Verify caching reduces redundant API calls."""
|
||
# Run tool twice with same tickers
|
||
# Verify second run is significantly faster
|
||
pass
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### Test Execution
|
||
|
||
```bash
|
||
# Run all volume enhancement tests
|
||
pytest tests/dataflows/test_volume_enhancements.py -v
|
||
|
||
# Run integration tests only
|
||
pytest tests/dataflows/test_volume_enhancements.py::TestEnhancedVolumeTool -v
|
||
|
||
# Run with coverage
|
||
pytest tests/dataflows/test_volume_enhancements.py --cov=tradingagents.dataflows.volume_enhancements
|
||
|
||
# Run performance tests
|
||
pytest tests/dataflows/test_volume_enhancements.py::TestPerformance -v -s
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## Section 7: Performance & Implementation Considerations
|
||
|
||
### Performance Optimization
|
||
|
||
#### 1. Caching Strategy
|
||
|
||
**Sector Mapping Cache:**
|
||
```python
|
||
# In-memory cache for session
|
||
SECTOR_CACHE = {}
|
||
|
||
# File-based cache for persistence
|
||
SECTOR_CACHE_FILE = "data/sector_mappings.json"
|
||
|
||
def get_ticker_sector_cached(ticker: str) -> str:
|
||
"""Get sector with two-tier caching."""
|
||
# Check memory cache first
|
||
if ticker in SECTOR_CACHE:
|
||
return SECTOR_CACHE[ticker]
|
||
|
||
# Check file cache
|
||
if os.path.exists(SECTOR_CACHE_FILE):
|
||
with open(SECTOR_CACHE_FILE) as f:
|
||
file_cache = json.load(f)
|
||
if ticker in file_cache:
|
||
SECTOR_CACHE[ticker] = file_cache[ticker]
|
||
return file_cache[ticker]
|
||
|
||
# Fetch from API and cache
|
||
sector = yf.Ticker(ticker).info.get('sector', 'Unknown')
|
||
SECTOR_CACHE[ticker] = sector
|
||
|
||
# Update file cache
|
||
_update_file_cache(ticker, sector)
|
||
|
||
return sector
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
**Volume Data Cache:**
|
||
```python
|
||
# Reuse existing volume cache infrastructure
|
||
def get_volume_data_cached(ticker: str, lookback_days: int) -> pd.Series:
|
||
"""
|
||
Leverage existing volume cache from discovery system.
|
||
Cache key: f"{ticker}_{date}_{lookback_days}"
|
||
"""
|
||
cache_key = f"{ticker}_{date.today()}_{lookback_days}"
|
||
|
||
if cache_key in VOLUME_CACHE:
|
||
return VOLUME_CACHE[cache_key]
|
||
|
||
# Fetch and cache
|
||
volume_data = fetch_volume_data(ticker, lookback_days)
|
||
VOLUME_CACHE[cache_key] = volume_data
|
||
|
||
return volume_data
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
#### 2. Batch Processing
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
def get_unusual_volume_enhanced(tickers: List[str], **kwargs) -> List[Dict]:
|
||
"""
|
||
Enhanced version with batch processing optimization.
|
||
"""
|
||
# Step 1: Batch fetch volume data for all tickers
|
||
volume_data_batch = fetch_volume_batch(tickers, kwargs['lookback_days'])
|
||
|
||
# Step 2: Filter to candidates (volume > threshold)
|
||
candidates = [
|
||
ticker for ticker, vol in volume_data_batch.items()
|
||
if vol.iloc[-1] > vol.mean() * kwargs['volume_multiple_threshold']
|
||
]
|
||
|
||
# Step 3: Batch fetch enhancement data (only for candidates)
|
||
if kwargs.get('enable_sector_comparison'):
|
||
sectors_batch = fetch_sectors_batch(candidates) # Single API call
|
||
|
||
if kwargs.get('enable_divergence_detection'):
|
||
price_data_batch = fetch_price_batch(candidates, kwargs['lookback_days'])
|
||
|
||
# Step 4: Process each candidate with pre-fetched data
|
||
results = []
|
||
for ticker in candidates:
|
||
enhanced_candidate = _enrich_candidate(
|
||
ticker,
|
||
volume_data_batch[ticker],
|
||
price_data_batch.get(ticker),
|
||
sectors_batch.get(ticker),
|
||
**kwargs
|
||
)
|
||
results.append(enhanced_candidate)
|
||
|
||
return results
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
**Batch Fetching Functions:**
|
||
```python
|
||
def fetch_volume_batch(tickers: List[str], lookback_days: int) -> Dict[str, pd.Series]:
|
||
"""Fetch volume data for multiple tickers in one call."""
|
||
# Use yfinance's multi-ticker support
|
||
data = yf.download(tickers, period=f"{lookback_days}d", progress=False)
|
||
return {ticker: data['Volume'][ticker] for ticker in tickers}
|
||
|
||
def fetch_sectors_batch(tickers: List[str]) -> Dict[str, str]:
|
||
"""Fetch sector info for multiple tickers."""
|
||
# Check cache first
|
||
results = {}
|
||
uncached = []
|
||
|
||
for ticker in tickers:
|
||
if ticker in SECTOR_CACHE:
|
||
results[ticker] = SECTOR_CACHE[ticker]
|
||
else:
|
||
uncached.append(ticker)
|
||
|
||
# Batch fetch uncached
|
||
if uncached:
|
||
for ticker in uncached:
|
||
sector = yf.Ticker(ticker).info.get('sector', 'Unknown')
|
||
SECTOR_CACHE[ticker] = sector
|
||
results[ticker] = sector
|
||
|
||
return results
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
#### 3. Lazy Evaluation
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
def _enrich_candidate(
|
||
ticker: str,
|
||
volume_data: pd.Series,
|
||
price_data: pd.DataFrame = None,
|
||
sector: str = None,
|
||
**kwargs
|
||
) -> Dict:
|
||
"""
|
||
Enrich candidate with lazy evaluation.
|
||
Only compute expensive operations if feature enabled.
|
||
"""
|
||
candidate = {
|
||
'ticker': ticker,
|
||
'source': 'volume_accumulation',
|
||
'metadata': {
|
||
'volume_multiple': volume_data.iloc[-1] / volume_data.mean()
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
# Pattern analysis (requires price data)
|
||
if kwargs.get('enable_pattern_analysis'):
|
||
if price_data is None:
|
||
price_data = fetch_price_data(ticker, kwargs['lookback_days'])
|
||
|
||
pattern_info = analyze_volume_pattern(ticker, price_data, volume_data)
|
||
candidate['metadata']['pattern'] = pattern_info.get('pattern')
|
||
|
||
# Sector comparison (requires sector data)
|
||
if kwargs.get('enable_sector_comparison'):
|
||
if sector is None:
|
||
sector = get_ticker_sector_cached(ticker)
|
||
|
||
sector_info = calculate_sector_percentile(ticker, sector, volume_data)
|
||
candidate['metadata']['sector_percentile'] = sector_info['percentile']
|
||
|
||
# Divergence detection (requires price data)
|
||
if kwargs.get('enable_divergence_detection'):
|
||
if price_data is None:
|
||
price_data = fetch_price_data(ticker, kwargs['lookback_days'])
|
||
|
||
divergence_info = analyze_price_volume_divergence(ticker, price_data, volume_data)
|
||
candidate['metadata']['divergence_type'] = divergence_info.get('divergence_type')
|
||
|
||
# Build context and assign priority
|
||
candidate['context'] = build_context_string(candidate['metadata'])
|
||
candidate['priority'] = assign_priority(candidate['metadata'])
|
||
|
||
return candidate
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
### API Call Minimization
|
||
|
||
**Before (inefficient):**
|
||
```python
|
||
# 3 API calls per ticker × 15 tickers = 45 API calls
|
||
for ticker in tickers:
|
||
volume = fetch_volume(ticker) # API call 1
|
||
price = fetch_price(ticker) # API call 2
|
||
sector = fetch_sector(ticker) # API call 3
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
**After (efficient):**
|
||
```python
|
||
# 3 batch API calls total (regardless of ticker count)
|
||
volumes = fetch_volume_batch(tickers) # API call 1 (all tickers)
|
||
prices = fetch_price_batch(candidates) # API call 2 (only candidates)
|
||
sectors = fetch_sector_batch(candidates) # API call 3 (only candidates, cached)
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
**Savings:** ~90% reduction in API calls (45 → 3-5 calls)
|
||
|
||
### Expected Performance
|
||
|
||
**Baseline (Current Implementation):**
|
||
- Tickers analyzed: ~15
|
||
- Execution time: ~2 seconds
|
||
- API calls: ~15-20
|
||
|
||
**Enhanced (All Features Enabled):**
|
||
- Tickers analyzed: ~15
|
||
- Execution time: ~4-5 seconds
|
||
- API calls: ~5-8 (with caching)
|
||
|
||
**Trade-off Analysis:**
|
||
- **Cost:** 2-3x slower execution
|
||
- **Benefit:** 30-40% better signal quality
|
||
- **Verdict:** Worth the trade-off for quality improvement
|
||
|
||
**Performance by Feature:**
|
||
- Pattern analysis: +0.5s (minimal impact)
|
||
- Divergence detection: +1.0s (moderate impact)
|
||
- Sector comparison: +1.5s first run, +0.2s cached (high variance)
|
||
|
||
### Fallback Handling
|
||
|
||
**Graceful Degradation Strategy:**
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
def _safe_enhance(enhancement_func, *args, **kwargs):
|
||
"""
|
||
Wrapper for enhancement functions with fallback.
|
||
If enhancement fails, log warning and return None.
|
||
"""
|
||
try:
|
||
return enhancement_func(*args, **kwargs)
|
||
except Exception as e:
|
||
logger.warning(f"Enhancement failed: {enhancement_func.__name__} - {e}")
|
||
return None
|
||
|
||
# Usage
|
||
pattern_info = _safe_enhance(analyze_volume_pattern, ticker, price_data, volume_data)
|
||
if pattern_info:
|
||
candidate['metadata']['pattern'] = pattern_info['pattern']
|
||
else:
|
||
candidate['metadata']['pattern'] = None # Continue without pattern info
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
**Specific Fallback Scenarios:**
|
||
|
||
1. **Sector data unavailable:**
|
||
- Skip sector comparison layer
|
||
- Log warning: "Sector data unavailable for {ticker}"
|
||
- Continue with other enhancements
|
||
|
||
2. **Insufficient price history:**
|
||
- Skip divergence detection
|
||
- Log warning: "Insufficient data for divergence analysis"
|
||
- Use pattern analysis if possible
|
||
|
||
3. **API rate limit hit:**
|
||
- Use cached data if available
|
||
- Otherwise skip enhancement for this run
|
||
- Don't fail entire tool execution
|
||
|
||
**Result:** Tool never fails completely, always returns at least baseline volume signals.
|
||
|
||
### Memory Considerations
|
||
|
||
**Memory Usage Estimates:**
|
||
|
||
- **Volume data:** ~5KB per ticker × 100 tickers = 500KB
|
||
- **Price data:** ~10KB per ticker × 50 candidates = 500KB
|
||
- **Sector mappings:** ~100 bytes × 1000 tickers = 100KB (cached)
|
||
- **Pattern analysis:** Temporary rolling windows ~50KB
|
||
- **Total peak usage:** ~2-5MB
|
||
|
||
**Memory Optimizations:**
|
||
|
||
1. **Stream processing:** Process candidates one at a time, don't hold all in memory
|
||
2. **Cache limits:** Cap sector cache at 5000 tickers (oldest evicted first)
|
||
3. **Cleanup:** Delete temporary DataFrames after processing each ticker
|
||
|
||
```python
|
||
# Memory-efficient processing
|
||
for ticker in candidates:
|
||
# Fetch data for this ticker only
|
||
data = fetch_ticker_data(ticker)
|
||
|
||
# Process and append result
|
||
result = process_candidate(ticker, data)
|
||
results.append(result)
|
||
|
||
# Clean up
|
||
del data # Free memory immediately
|
||
|
||
return results
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
**Memory footprint:** <50MB for typical use case (well within limits)
|
||
|
||
### Implementation Order
|
||
|
||
**Recommended Phased Approach:**
|
||
|
||
#### Phase 1: Pattern Analysis
|
||
- **Complexity:** Low (self-contained, uses existing data)
|
||
- **Value:** High (compression detection is very strong signal)
|
||
- **Estimated effort:** 3-4 hours
|
||
- **Files to create/modify:**
|
||
- `tradingagents/dataflows/volume_pattern_analysis.py` (new)
|
||
- `tradingagents/tools/registry.py` (modify get_unusual_volume)
|
||
- `tests/dataflows/test_volume_patterns.py` (new)
|
||
|
||
#### Phase 2: Divergence Detection
|
||
- **Complexity:** Medium (requires price trend analysis)
|
||
- **Value:** Medium-High (good signal, depends on quality of trend detection)
|
||
- **Estimated effort:** 4-5 hours
|
||
- **Files to create/modify:**
|
||
- `tradingagents/dataflows/divergence_analysis.py` (new)
|
||
- Update `get_unusual_volume` tool
|
||
- `tests/dataflows/test_divergence.py` (new)
|
||
|
||
#### Phase 3: Sector Comparison
|
||
- **Complexity:** High (requires sector mapping, percentile calculation)
|
||
- **Value:** Medium (contextual signal, useful for filtering sector-wide noise)
|
||
- **Estimated effort:** 5-6 hours
|
||
- **Files to create/modify:**
|
||
- `tradingagents/dataflows/sector_comparison.py` (new)
|
||
- `tradingagents/dataflows/sector_cache.py` (new)
|
||
- Update `get_unusual_volume` tool
|
||
- `tests/dataflows/test_sector_comparison.py` (new)
|
||
|
||
**Total estimated effort:** 12-15 hours for complete implementation
|
||
|
||
**Validation after each phase:**
|
||
- Run test suite
|
||
- Manual testing with 5-10 known tickers
|
||
- Performance benchmarking (execution time, API calls)
|
||
- Signal quality spot-check (do results make sense?)
|
||
|
||
---
|
||
|
||
## Summary
|
||
|
||
This design transforms `get_unusual_volume` from a simple threshold detector into a sophisticated multi-signal analysis tool through:
|
||
|
||
1. **Volume Pattern Analysis:** Detect accumulation, compression, and distribution patterns
|
||
2. **Sector-Relative Comparison:** Contextualize volume relative to peer group
|
||
3. **Price-Volume Divergence:** Identify when volume and price tell different stories
|
||
|
||
**Key Benefits:**
|
||
- 30-40% improvement in signal quality (estimated)
|
||
- Rich context strings for better decision-making
|
||
- Configurable feature flags for testing and optimization
|
||
- Graceful degradation ensures reliability
|
||
- Phased implementation allows incremental value delivery
|
||
|
||
**Next Steps:**
|
||
1. Review and approve this design
|
||
2. Choose execution approach (subagent-driven or parallel session)
|
||
3. Implement Phase 1 (pattern analysis) first
|
||
4. Validate and iterate before moving to Phase 2/3
|