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chore: update performance tracking 2026-02-18

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github-actions[bot] 2026-02-18 13:51:57 +00:00
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commit 4355f633b3
2 changed files with 233 additions and 6 deletions
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231
data/recommendations/performance_database.json
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@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"last_updated": "2026-02-18 13:48:21",
"total_recommendations": 270,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18 13:51:57",
"total_recommendations": 285,
"recommendations_by_date": {
"2026-02-10": [
{
@ -5031,6 +5031,233 @@
"return_1d": -6.79,
"win_1d": false
}
],
"2026-02-18": [
{
"ticker": "WRB",
"rank": 1,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 92,
"confidence": 9,
"reason": "This is a high-conviction trade driven by relentless insider accumulation from Mitsui Sumitomo, totaling over $225 million in recent purchases, including a purchase on Feb 13, 2026. The stock is in a confirmed uptrend with the price above the 20 and 50 SMAs and rising On-Balance Volume (OBV). With a bullish RSI of 56.3 and a bullish options Open Interest put/call ratio, the technicals align perfectly with the insider vote of confidence. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric given the institutional backing.",
"entry_price": 71.04000091552734,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 71.04000091552734,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "ADM",
"rank": 2,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 88,
"confidence": 9,
"reason": "ADM presents a powerful confluence of insider buying and unusual options activity. A director recently purchased shares, and the options flow is extremely bullish with a Put/Call volume ratio of just 0.021, indicating aggressive call buying. Technically, the stock is in a strong uptrend (above 50 & 200 SMA) with bullish divergence in OBV, suggesting accumulation before the next leg up.",
"entry_price": 68.56999969482422,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 68.56999969482422,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "COP",
"rank": 3,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 86,
"confidence": 8,
"reason": "Energy sector momentum is confirming ConocoPhillips' strong uptrend, with the price holding significantly above its 200 SMA ($92.47). The options flow is exceptionally bullish with a volume Put/Call ratio of 0.004, showing virtually zero bearish betting despite a short-term pullback. With 21 unusual bullish call sweeps detected, institutional money is positioning for a bounce or continuation.",
"entry_price": 108.77999877929688,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 108.77999877929688,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "ARE",
"rank": 4,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 84,
"confidence": 8,
"reason": "Insider buying in the REIT sector is a strong value signal, evidenced by a $1.3M purchase by an officer/director on Feb 12, 2026. The technical setup shows a stochastic bullish crossover and a bullish Put/Call volume ratio of 0.344. With the price reclaiming the 50 SMA, this suggests a bottoming formation and a reversal to the upside supported by insider capital.",
"entry_price": 54.40999984741211,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 54.40999984741211,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "CAR",
"rank": 5,
"strategy_match": "earnings_calendar",
"final_score": 82,
"confidence": 7,
"reason": "This is a tactical short-squeeze play into earnings (AMC today). With a massive 48.7% short interest, any positive surprise could trigger an explosive move. The stock is already showing relative strength, up 2.9% intraday and rallying +4.62% over the last week despite a broader downtrend, indicating shorts may be covering early.",
"entry_price": 122.0999984741211,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 122.0999984741211,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "CAKE",
"rank": 6,
"strategy_match": "earnings_calendar",
"final_score": 80,
"confidence": 8,
"reason": "CAKE is exhibiting strong momentum with a +6.63% daily move ahead of earnings today. The 28.5% short interest provides fuel for a squeeze, and the stock is trading near its upper Bollinger Band, signaling breakout potential. Technicals show a confirmed uptrend with rising OBV, aligning with the potential for a volatility event post-earnings.",
"entry_price": 62.560001373291016,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 62.560001373291016,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "SONO",
"rank": 7,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 79,
"confidence": 7,
"reason": "Significant insider accumulation is the key driver here, with Coliseum Capital purchasing over $11.5M worth of shares recently. While the trend has been weak, the insider 'floor' often precedes a reversal. The bullish volume Put/Call ratio suggests market sentiment is shifting, offering a favorable entry for an asymmetric reversal trade.",
"entry_price": 15.600000381469727,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 15.600000381469727,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "AMZN",
"rank": 8,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 78,
"confidence": 8,
"reason": "Amazon is a prime mean-reversion candidate, currently trading with an RSI of 26.7 (Oversold) and near the lower Bollinger Band. Historically, blue-chip tech stocks rarely stay this oversold without a snap-back rally. The bullish Open Interest P/C ratio (0.423) suggests longer-term positioning remains positive despite the short-term dip.",
"entry_price": 201.14999389648438,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 201.14999389648438,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "SB",
"rank": 9,
"strategy_match": "earnings_calendar",
"final_score": 77,
"confidence": 7,
"reason": "Safe Bulkers is entering earnings (AMC today) with a pristine technical setup: Strong uptrend, price above 20/50/200 SMAs, and a bullish MACD crossover. The stock is near its upper Bollinger Band with rising OBV, indicating accumulation heading into the print. This momentum suggests the market anticipates strong results.",
"entry_price": 6.050000190734863,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 6.050000190734863,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "FWRD",
"rank": 10,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 76,
"confidence": 7,
"reason": "FWRD displays a bullish divergence between price action and options flow, with a very low Put/Call volume ratio of 0.299 favoring calls. The stock is in a strong uptrend above major moving averages. With earnings approaching in 5 days, this looks like a pre-earnings run-up fueled by informed options positioning.",
"entry_price": 27.239999771118164,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 27.239999771118164,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "AFL",
"rank": 11,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 75,
"confidence": 7,
"reason": "Unusual options activity is heavily bullish with a Put/Call volume ratio of 0.016, suggesting aggressive institutional positioning for upside. Despite some insider selling, the technical trend is a 'Strong Uptrend' with the price above the 200 SMA. The options market is betting on a breakout, countering the insider signal.",
"entry_price": 115.41999816894531,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 115.41999816894531,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "FCF",
"rank": 12,
"strategy_match": "reddit_trending",
"final_score": 74,
"confidence": 7,
"reason": "This regional bank is in a strong uptrend, trading above its 20 and 50 SMAs. A director recently purchased shares, adding a vote of confidence. The chart shows solid momentum with the price holding above VWAP, making it a reliable trend-following candidate with yield support.",
"entry_price": 18.3799991607666,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 18.3799991607666,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "AMGN",
"rank": 13,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 73,
"confidence": 7,
"reason": "Amgen is showing classic momentum characteristics: Strong uptrend, bullish MACD, and a Stochastic bullish crossover. The options volume is overwhelmingly bullish (P/C 0.024). Trading near the upper Bollinger Band indicates strength, and the path of least resistance remains up.",
"entry_price": 373.3599853515625,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 373.3599853515625,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "CF",
"rank": 14,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 72,
"confidence": 6,
"reason": "Heading into earnings today, CF Industries has bullish options flow support and is trading in a defined uptrend above the 200 SMA. While there is a bearish MACD crossover warning, the immediate catalyst and options positioning favor a potential upside surprise or volatility play.",
"entry_price": 93.79000091552734,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 93.79000091552734,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
},
{
"ticker": "BKR",
"rank": 15,
"strategy_match": "momentum",
"final_score": 70,
"confidence": 6,
"reason": "Despite some insider selling, the options market is bullish (P/C ratio 0.249) and the technical trend is very strong (Above 20/50/200 SMAs). The stock is experiencing rising OBV, indicating that broader accumulation is absorbing the insider supply, setting the stage for trend continuation.",
"entry_price": 59.86000061035156,
"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
"status": "open",
"current_price": 59.86000061035156,
"return_pct": 0.0,
"days_held": 0,
"last_updated": "2026-02-18"
}
]
}
}

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data/recommendations/statistics.json
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@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
{
"total_recommendations": 270,
"total_recommendations": 285,
"by_strategy": {
"momentum": {
"count": 117,
"count": 128,
"wins_1d": 54,
"losses_1d": 63,
"wins_7d": 38,
@ -58,7 +58,7 @@
"win_rate_7d": 36.4
},
"earnings_calendar": {
"count": 26,
"count": 29,
"wins_1d": 11,
"losses_1d": 15,
"wins_7d": 8,
@ -282,7 +282,7 @@
"win_rate_7d": 0.0
},
"reddit_trending": {
"count": 2,
"count": 3,
"wins_1d": 0,
"losses_1d": 2,
"wins_7d": 0,