chore: daily discovery 2026-02-18
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{
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"date": "2026-02-18",
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"llm_provider": "google",
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"recommendations": [
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{
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"ticker": "WRB",
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"rank": 1,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 92,
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"confidence": 9,
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"reason": "This is a high-conviction trade driven by relentless insider accumulation from Mitsui Sumitomo, totaling over $225 million in recent purchases, including a purchase on Feb 13, 2026. The stock is in a confirmed uptrend with the price above the 20 and 50 SMAs and rising On-Balance Volume (OBV). With a bullish RSI of 56.3 and a bullish options Open Interest put/call ratio, the technicals align perfectly with the insider vote of confidence. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric given the institutional backing.",
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"entry_price": 71.04000091552734,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "ADM",
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"rank": 2,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 88,
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"confidence": 9,
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"reason": "ADM presents a powerful confluence of insider buying and unusual options activity. A director recently purchased shares, and the options flow is extremely bullish with a Put/Call volume ratio of just 0.021, indicating aggressive call buying. Technically, the stock is in a strong uptrend (above 50 & 200 SMA) with bullish divergence in OBV, suggesting accumulation before the next leg up.",
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"entry_price": 68.56999969482422,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "COP",
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"rank": 3,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 86,
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"confidence": 8,
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"reason": "Energy sector momentum is confirming ConocoPhillips' strong uptrend, with the price holding significantly above its 200 SMA ($92.47). The options flow is exceptionally bullish with a volume Put/Call ratio of 0.004, showing virtually zero bearish betting despite a short-term pullback. With 21 unusual bullish call sweeps detected, institutional money is positioning for a bounce or continuation.",
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"entry_price": 108.77999877929688,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "ARE",
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"rank": 4,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 84,
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"confidence": 8,
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"reason": "Insider buying in the REIT sector is a strong value signal, evidenced by a $1.3M purchase by an officer/director on Feb 12, 2026. The technical setup shows a stochastic bullish crossover and a bullish Put/Call volume ratio of 0.344. With the price reclaiming the 50 SMA, this suggests a bottoming formation and a reversal to the upside supported by insider capital.",
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"entry_price": 54.40999984741211,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "CAR",
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"rank": 5,
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"strategy_match": "earnings_calendar",
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"final_score": 82,
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"confidence": 7,
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"reason": "This is a tactical short-squeeze play into earnings (AMC today). With a massive 48.7% short interest, any positive surprise could trigger an explosive move. The stock is already showing relative strength, up 2.9% intraday and rallying +4.62% over the last week despite a broader downtrend, indicating shorts may be covering early.",
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"entry_price": 122.0999984741211,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "CAKE",
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"rank": 6,
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"strategy_match": "earnings_calendar",
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"final_score": 80,
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"confidence": 8,
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"reason": "CAKE is exhibiting strong momentum with a +6.63% daily move ahead of earnings today. The 28.5% short interest provides fuel for a squeeze, and the stock is trading near its upper Bollinger Band, signaling breakout potential. Technicals show a confirmed uptrend with rising OBV, aligning with the potential for a volatility event post-earnings.",
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"entry_price": 62.560001373291016,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "SONO",
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"rank": 7,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 79,
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"confidence": 7,
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"reason": "Significant insider accumulation is the key driver here, with Coliseum Capital purchasing over $11.5M worth of shares recently. While the trend has been weak, the insider 'floor' often precedes a reversal. The bullish volume Put/Call ratio suggests market sentiment is shifting, offering a favorable entry for an asymmetric reversal trade.",
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"entry_price": 15.600000381469727,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "AMZN",
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"rank": 8,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 78,
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"confidence": 8,
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"reason": "Amazon is a prime mean-reversion candidate, currently trading with an RSI of 26.7 (Oversold) and near the lower Bollinger Band. Historically, blue-chip tech stocks rarely stay this oversold without a snap-back rally. The bullish Open Interest P/C ratio (0.423) suggests longer-term positioning remains positive despite the short-term dip.",
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"entry_price": 201.14999389648438,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "SB",
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"rank": 9,
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"strategy_match": "earnings_calendar",
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"final_score": 77,
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"confidence": 7,
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"reason": "Safe Bulkers is entering earnings (AMC today) with a pristine technical setup: Strong uptrend, price above 20/50/200 SMAs, and a bullish MACD crossover. The stock is near its upper Bollinger Band with rising OBV, indicating accumulation heading into the print. This momentum suggests the market anticipates strong results.",
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"entry_price": 6.050000190734863,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "FWRD",
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"rank": 10,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 76,
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"confidence": 7,
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"reason": "FWRD displays a bullish divergence between price action and options flow, with a very low Put/Call volume ratio of 0.299 favoring calls. The stock is in a strong uptrend above major moving averages. With earnings approaching in 5 days, this looks like a pre-earnings run-up fueled by informed options positioning.",
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"entry_price": 27.239999771118164,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "AFL",
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"rank": 11,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 75,
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"confidence": 7,
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"reason": "Unusual options activity is heavily bullish with a Put/Call volume ratio of 0.016, suggesting aggressive institutional positioning for upside. Despite some insider selling, the technical trend is a 'Strong Uptrend' with the price above the 200 SMA. The options market is betting on a breakout, countering the insider signal.",
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"entry_price": 115.41999816894531,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "FCF",
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"rank": 12,
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"strategy_match": "reddit_trending",
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"final_score": 74,
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"confidence": 7,
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"reason": "This regional bank is in a strong uptrend, trading above its 20 and 50 SMAs. A director recently purchased shares, adding a vote of confidence. The chart shows solid momentum with the price holding above VWAP, making it a reliable trend-following candidate with yield support.",
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"entry_price": 18.3799991607666,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "AMGN",
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"rank": 13,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 73,
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"confidence": 7,
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"reason": "Amgen is showing classic momentum characteristics: Strong uptrend, bullish MACD, and a Stochastic bullish crossover. The options volume is overwhelmingly bullish (P/C 0.024). Trading near the upper Bollinger Band indicates strength, and the path of least resistance remains up.",
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"entry_price": 373.3599853515625,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "CF",
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"rank": 14,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 72,
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"confidence": 6,
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"reason": "Heading into earnings today, CF Industries has bullish options flow support and is trading in a defined uptrend above the 200 SMA. While there is a bearish MACD crossover warning, the immediate catalyst and options positioning favor a potential upside surprise or volatility play.",
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"entry_price": 93.79000091552734,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "BKR",
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"rank": 15,
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"strategy_match": "momentum",
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"final_score": 70,
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"confidence": 6,
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"reason": "Despite some insider selling, the options market is bullish (P/C ratio 0.249) and the technical trend is very strong (Above 20/50/200 SMAs). The stock is experiencing rising OBV, indicating that broader accumulation is absorbing the insider supply, setting the stage for trend continuation.",
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"entry_price": 59.86000061035156,
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"discovery_date": "2026-02-18",
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"status": "open"
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}
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]
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}
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"by_strategy": {
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"momentum": {
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"count": 117,
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"wins_1d": 53,
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"losses_1d": 62,
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"wins_1d": 54,
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"losses_1d": 63,
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"wins_7d": 38,
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"losses_7d": 54,
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"wins_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.25,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.23,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.57,
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"avg_return_30d": 0,
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"win_rate_1d": 46.1,
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"win_rate_1d": 46.2,
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"win_rate_7d": 41.3
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},
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"volume_accumulation": {
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},
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"insider_buying": {
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"count": 37,
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"wins_1d": 22,
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"losses_1d": 11,
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"wins_7d": 15,
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"losses_7d": 6,
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"wins_1d": 25,
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"losses_1d": 12,
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"wins_7d": 18,
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"losses_7d": 7,
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"wins_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": 0.94,
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"avg_return_7d": 1.51,
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"avg_return_1d": 0.83,
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"avg_return_7d": 2.17,
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"avg_return_30d": 0,
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"win_rate_1d": 66.7,
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"win_rate_7d": 71.4
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"win_rate_1d": 67.6,
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"win_rate_7d": 72.0
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},
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"options_flow": {
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"count": 28,
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"wins_1d": 10,
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"losses_1d": 12,
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"wins_1d": 11,
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"losses_1d": 17,
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"wins_7d": 4,
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"losses_7d": 1,
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"losses_7d": 7,
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"wins_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": 0.35,
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"avg_return_7d": 0.66,
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"avg_return_1d": 0.13,
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"avg_return_7d": -1.76,
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"avg_return_30d": 0,
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"win_rate_1d": 45.5,
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"win_rate_7d": 80.0
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"win_rate_1d": 39.3,
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"win_rate_7d": 36.4
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},
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"earnings_calendar": {
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"count": 26,
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"wins_1d": 10,
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"losses_1d": 14,
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"wins_7d": 6,
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"losses_7d": 11,
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"wins_1d": 11,
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"losses_1d": 15,
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"wins_7d": 8,
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"losses_7d": 12,
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"wins_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.86,
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"avg_return_7d": 1.28,
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"avg_return_1d": -1.11,
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"avg_return_7d": 0.58,
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"avg_return_30d": 0,
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"win_rate_1d": 41.7,
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"win_rate_7d": 35.3
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"win_rate_1d": 42.3,
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"win_rate_7d": 40.0
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},
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"contrarian_value": {
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"count": 6,
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"wins_1d": 3,
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"losses_1d": 4,
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"wins_7d": 0,
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"losses_7d": 0,
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"losses_7d": 2,
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"wins_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": 0.03,
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"avg_return_7d": 0,
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"avg_return_7d": -5.09,
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"avg_return_30d": 0,
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"win_rate_1d": 42.9
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"win_rate_1d": 42.9,
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"win_rate_7d": 0.0
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},
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"reddit_trending": {
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"count": 2,
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"wins_1d": 0,
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"losses_1d": 1,
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"losses_1d": 2,
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"wins_7d": 0,
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"losses_7d": 0,
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"wins_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": -6.68,
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"avg_return_1d": -5.1,
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"avg_return_7d": 0,
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"avg_return_30d": 0,
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"win_rate_1d": 0.0
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}
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},
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"overall_1d": {
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"count": 255,
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"wins": 122,
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"avg_return": -0.36,
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"win_rate": 47.8
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"count": 270,
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"wins": 128,
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"avg_return": -0.39,
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"win_rate": 47.4
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},
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"overall_7d": {
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"count": 185,
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"wins": 87,
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"avg_return": -0.31,
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"win_rate": 47.0
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"count": 200,
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"wins": 92,
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"avg_return": -0.39,
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"win_rate": 46.0
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},
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"overall_30d": {
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"count": 0,
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