TradingAgents/tradingagents/prediction_market/agents/analysts/odds_analyst.py

74 lines
3.4 KiB
Python

from langchain_core.prompts import ChatPromptTemplate, MessagesPlaceholder
from tradingagents.prediction_market.agents.utils.pm_agent_utils import (
get_market_info,
get_market_price_history,
get_order_book,
)
def create_odds_analyst(llm):
def odds_analyst_node(state):
current_date = state["trade_date"]
market_id = state["market_id"]
market_question = state["market_question"]
tools = [
get_market_info,
get_market_price_history,
get_order_book,
]
system_message = (
"You are an Odds Analyst for prediction markets. Your task is to analyze the market microstructure "
"and pricing dynamics of the prediction market. Use the available tools to gather market data, "
"price history, and order book information. Your analysis should cover:\n"
"1. Current price/probability and what it implies about market consensus\n"
"2. Bid-ask spread and liquidity assessment - how easy is it to enter/exit positions?\n"
"3. Order book depth - are there large resting orders that indicate informed traders?\n"
"4. Price history trends - has the market been trending, mean-reverting, or volatile?\n"
"5. Market efficiency assessment - are there signs of mispricing or stale prices?\n"
"6. Market lifecycle stage (early/mid/late) based on time to resolution and volume patterns\n"
"Do not simply state that the trends are mixed, provide detailed and finegrained analysis "
"and insights that may help traders make decisions."
""" Make sure to append a Markdown table at the end of the report to organize key points in the report, organized and easy to read."""
)
prompt = ChatPromptTemplate.from_messages(
[
(
"system",
"You are a helpful AI assistant, collaborating with other assistants."
" Use the provided tools to progress towards answering the question."
" If you are unable to fully answer, that's OK; another assistant with different tools"
" will help where you left off. Execute what you can to make progress."
" If you or any other assistant has the FINAL PREDICTION: **YES/NO** or deliverable,"
" prefix your response with FINAL PREDICTION: **YES/NO** so the team knows to stop."
" You have access to the following tools: {tool_names}.\n{system_message}"
"For your reference, the current date is {current_date}. Market ID: {market_id}. Question: {market_question}",
),
MessagesPlaceholder(variable_name="messages"),
]
)
prompt = prompt.partial(system_message=system_message)
prompt = prompt.partial(tool_names=", ".join([tool.name for tool in tools]))
prompt = prompt.partial(current_date=current_date)
prompt = prompt.partial(market_id=market_id)
prompt = prompt.partial(market_question=market_question)
chain = prompt | llm.bind_tools(tools)
result = chain.invoke(state["messages"])
report = ""
if len(result.tool_calls) == 0:
report = result.content
return {
"messages": [result],
"odds_report": report,
}
return odds_analyst_node