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21 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
github-actions[bot] 17e77f036f research(autonomous): 2026-04-14 — automated research run 2026-04-14 13:47:21 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 7ffbadca09 fix(hypotheses): prune concluded entries from active.json after each run 
Concluded hypotheses already live in concluded/ — keeping them in active.json
causes the registry to grow unboundedly. Runner now removes them at the end
of each cycle. Also cleaned up the existing social_dd concluded entry.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-14 13:47:21 -07:00
Aitous 4ff1251323
Merge pull request #16 from Aitous/iterate/current 
learn(iterate): automated improvements — 2026-04-14
 2026-04-14 13:13:14 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 298db90a14 chore(hypotheses): reduce min_days thresholds for faster conclusions 
insider_buying-min-txn-100k: 21 → 14 days.
Command defaults: ≥2/day → 10d, 1/day → 14d, <1/day → 21d.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-14 12:58:02 -07:00
github-actions[bot] 3bfb8cc47d chore(hypotheses): update registry 2026-04-14 2026-04-14 09:22:54 +00:00
github-actions[bot] f862e91870 learn(iterate): 2026-04-14 — automated iteration run 2026-04-14 07:25:30 +00:00
Youssef Aitousarrah fa322bf784 hypothesis(social_dd): register ranker suppression statistical hypothesis 
Analysis of 25 picks reveals 60% 30d win rate (+2.32%) vs 41.7% 7d (-1.92%).
Score suppression is not the primary issue (avg score 71.5, 22/25 >= 65).
Root cause is evaluation horizon mismatch — ranker calibrated on 7d outcomes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-13 12:40:33 -07:00
Aitous 79a58a540c
Merge pull request #14 from Aitous/iterate/current 
learn(iterate): automated improvements — 2026-04-13
 2026-04-13 12:06:56 -07:00
Aitous da541f0b77
Merge pull request #15 from Aitous/research/current 
research: new strategy findings — 2026-04-13
 2026-04-13 12:05:01 -07:00
github-actions[bot] a13ddffe8f chore(hypotheses): update registry 2026-04-13 2026-04-13 10:03:03 +00:00
github-actions[bot] 48a1c1672f research(autonomous): 2026-04-13 — automated research run 2026-04-13 09:06:49 +00:00
github-actions[bot] 17e45df41a learn(iterate): 2026-04-13 — automated iteration run 2026-04-13 07:52:59 +00:00
Youssef Aitousarrah a51d6193f8 research(short-squeeze): 2026-04-12 — new short_squeeze scanner; high SI (>20%) as squeeze-risk discovery for cross-scanner confluence 
Implements ShortSqueezeScanner wrapping existing get_short_interest() in finviz_scraper.py.
Research finding: raw high SI predicts negative long-term returns (academic); edge is using
SI as a squeeze-risk flag when combined with earnings_calendar or options_flow catalysts.
Directly addresses earnings_calendar pending hypothesis (APLD 30.6% SI was strongest setup).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-12 19:10:30 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 612366fa45 learn(iterate): 2026-04-12 — document social_dd/early_accumulation; split social_dd from social_hype in ranker (55% 30d win rate vs 14.3%) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-12 19:03:03 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 7ec0e52b98 learn(iterate): 2026-04-12 — raise score threshold 55→65; minervini leads; insider_buying staleness pattern identified 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-12 18:04:46 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 7585da3ac6 chore: sync local modifications 
- active.json: updated days_elapsed from hypothesis runner
- hypotheses.py: black formatting applied by pre-commit hook
- .gitignore: local additions

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-12 18:04:38 -07:00
github-actions[bot] f17b2e4e02 learn(iterate): 2026-04-11 — automated iteration run 2026-04-11 06:55:28 +00:00
Youssef Aitousarrah a956863c48 feat(hypotheses): register insider_buying-min-txn-100k hypothesis 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-10 11:05:46 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah d3065f59f1 feat(hypotheses): initialize hypothesis registry 2026-04-10 09:26:17 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 47bcbdc70b fix(iteration-system): add .gitkeep to track empty research/ directory 2026-04-08 08:10:26 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 3fb82e8180 feat(iteration-system): add knowledge base folder structure with seeded scanner files 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-04-08 08:09:07 -07:00