Commit Graph

9 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
github-actions[bot] 3762c3cb3b chore(hypotheses): update registry 2026-04-15 2026-04-15 09:24:18 +00:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 7ffbadca09 fix(hypotheses): prune concluded entries from active.json after each run
Concluded hypotheses already live in concluded/ — keeping them in active.json
causes the registry to grow unboundedly. Runner now removes them at the end
of each cycle. Also cleaned up the existing social_dd concluded entry.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-14 13:47:21 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 298db90a14 chore(hypotheses): reduce min_days thresholds for faster conclusions
insider_buying-min-txn-100k: 21 → 14 days.
Command defaults: ≥2/day → 10d, 1/day → 14d, <1/day → 21d.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-14 12:58:02 -07:00
github-actions[bot] 3bfb8cc47d chore(hypotheses): update registry 2026-04-14 2026-04-14 09:22:54 +00:00
Youssef Aitousarrah fa322bf784 hypothesis(social_dd): register ranker suppression statistical hypothesis
Analysis of 25 picks reveals 60% 30d win rate (+2.32%) vs 41.7% 7d (-1.92%).
Score suppression is not the primary issue (avg score 71.5, 22/25 >= 65).
Root cause is evaluation horizon mismatch — ranker calibrated on 7d outcomes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-13 12:40:33 -07:00
github-actions[bot] a13ddffe8f chore(hypotheses): update registry 2026-04-13 2026-04-13 10:03:03 +00:00
Youssef Aitousarrah 8fe8c0e385 chore: sync local modifications
- active.json: updated days_elapsed from hypothesis runner
- hypotheses.py: black formatting applied by pre-commit hook
- .gitignore: local additions

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-12 17:55:28 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah a956863c48 feat(hypotheses): register insider_buying-min-txn-100k hypothesis
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-10 11:05:46 -07:00
Youssef Aitousarrah d3065f59f1 feat(hypotheses): initialize hypothesis registry 2026-04-10 09:26:17 -07:00