Concluded hypotheses already live in concluded/ — keeping them in active.json
causes the registry to grow unboundedly. Runner now removes them at the end
of each cycle. Also cleaned up the existing social_dd concluded entry.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Analysis of 25 picks reveals 60% 30d win rate (+2.32%) vs 41.7% 7d (-1.92%).
Score suppression is not the primary issue (avg score 71.5, 22/25 >= 65).
Root cause is evaluation horizon mismatch — ranker calibrated on 7d outcomes.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- active.json: updated days_elapsed from hypothesis runner
- hypotheses.py: black formatting applied by pre-commit hook
- .gitignore: local additions
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>