chore: daily discovery 2026-03-12

data/recommendations/2026-03-12.json

@@ -0,0 +1,96 @@
+{
+  "date": "2026-03-12",
+  "llm_provider": "google",
+  "recommendations": [
+    {
+      "ticker": "SSP",
+      "rank": 1,
+      "company_name": "The E.W. Scripps Company",
+      "description": "The E.W. Scripps Company operates as a media enterprise through a portfolio of local television stations and national news networks.",
+      "strategy_match": "insider_buying",
+      "pipeline": "insider_buying",
+      "final_score": 85,
+      "confidence": 8,
+      "risk_level": "moderate",
+      "reason": "Massive insider accumulation provides a strong edge, with 25 transactions totaling $7.37M, including purchases by CEO Adam Symson and multiple 10% owners. The timing is optimal as technicals show a strong uptrend with the price trading above the 50 SMA at $3.72. The risk/reward profile is highly favorable, supported by a bullish divergence in On-Balance Volume signaling clear institutional accumulation. The primary risk is the stock's high volatility (ATR of 8.2%), meaning a break below the 50 SMA could invalidate the momentum.",
+      "entry_price": 4.369999885559082,
+      "discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
+      "status": "open"
+    },
+    {
+      "ticker": "VAC",
+      "rank": 2,
+      "company_name": "Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation",
+      "description": "Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation engages in vacation ownership, exchange, rental, and resort and property management globally.",
+      "strategy_match": "insider_buying",
+      "pipeline": "insider_buying",
+      "final_score": 82,
+      "confidence": 8,
+      "risk_level": "moderate",
+      "reason": "Management conviction is evident with President Michael Flaskey purchasing $999k in shares, perfectly aligning with unusually bullish options flow featuring a P/C ratio of 0.198. Timing is supported by an established technical uptrend, with the price comfortably above the 50 SMA and 200 SMA, alongside a bullish MACD histogram. This setup offers an excellent risk/reward ratio by combining fundamental insider confidence with bullish derivatives positioning. The main risk is a broader macroeconomic slowdown affecting consumer cyclical travel, which could invalidate the thesis if support at $63.47 fails.",
+      "entry_price": 66.94999694824219,
+      "discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
+      "status": "open"
+    },
+    {
+      "ticker": "FOUR",
+      "rank": 3,
+      "company_name": "Shift4 Payments, Inc.",
+      "description": "Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides software and payment processing solutions in the United States and internationally.",
+      "strategy_match": "insider_buying",
+      "pipeline": "insider_buying",
+      "final_score": 78,
+      "confidence": 7,
+      "risk_level": "high",
+      "reason": "The catalyst is a massive $17.6M insider purchase cluster led by 10% owner Jared Isaacman, establishing a strong fundamental floor. The urgency stems from a high short interest of 20.2%, which primes the stock for a violent short squeeze if the insider buying halts the current technical downtrend. The asymmetric risk/reward favors the upside due to the magnitude of capital deployed by insiders against overextended short sellers. The key risk remains the strong technical downtrend; if the stock fails to reclaim its 20 EMA, the downward momentum may override the insider accumulation.",
+      "entry_price": 47.619998931884766,
+      "discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
+      "status": "open"
+    },
+    {
+      "ticker": "TGLS",
+      "rank": 4,
+      "company_name": "Tecnoglass Inc.",
+      "description": "Tecnoglass Inc. manufactures, supplies, and installs architectural glass, windows, and aluminum products for commercial and residential construction markets.",
+      "strategy_match": "insider_buying",
+      "pipeline": "insider_buying",
+      "final_score": 76,
+      "confidence": 7,
+      "risk_level": "high",
+      "reason": "A massive $13.1M purchase by 10% Owner Energy Holding Corp provides a highly credible fundamental catalyst indicating deep value. Despite the stock being in a broader downtrend, timing is critical now as the Stochastic indicator shows a bullish crossover and On-Balance Volume is rising, signaling hidden accumulation. The risk/reward is attractive for a reversal play, bolstered by an 80% bullish consensus among analysts. The primary risk is the stock's high volatility (ATR of 5.4%) and the overarching downtrend, making a tight stop-loss below recent lows essential.",
+      "entry_price": 44.7400016784668,
+      "discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
+      "status": "open"
+    },
+    {
+      "ticker": "AA",
+      "rank": 5,
+      "company_name": "Alcoa Corporation",
+      "description": "Alcoa Corporation engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum production businesses globally.",
+      "strategy_match": "options_flow",
+      "pipeline": "options_flow",
+      "final_score": 74,
+      "confidence": 7,
+      "risk_level": "moderate",
+      "reason": "The edge lies in extremely bullish options flow, highlighted by a low P/C ratio of 0.282 and massive unusual call volume at the $25 strike with 1450x Vol/OI. Timing is urgent as the stock demonstrates strong momentum, surging 8.24% daily and breaking out significantly above its 50 SMA ($60.82) with rising On-Balance Volume. The risk/reward is favorable as options participants aggressively position for further upside continuation in an accelerating trend. The main risk is short-term exhaustion, as the price is riding the upper Bollinger Band (107%), making it vulnerable to a quick mean-reversion pullback.",
+      "entry_price": 66.23999786376953,
+      "discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
+      "status": "open"
+    },
+    {
+      "ticker": "TTAN",
+      "rank": 6,
+      "company_name": "ServiceTitan, Inc.",
+      "description": "ServiceTitan, Inc. provides an end-to-end cloud-based software platform for trades businesses in the United States and Canada.",
+      "strategy_match": "earnings_play",
+      "pipeline": "earnings_play",
+      "final_score": 70,
+      "confidence": 6,
+      "risk_level": "speculative",
+      "reason": "The catalyst is an imminent earnings report coupled with extremely bullish options flow, boasting a P/C ratio of 0.137 and highly unusual call volume at the $120 and $105 strikes. Timing is immediate due to the binary earnings event today, combined with a 12.2% short interest that creates an explosive squeeze setup. The risk/reward is highly speculative but asymmetric, with options markets heavily pricing in an upside surprise despite the current downtrend. The critical risk is the binary nature of earnings; a miss on revenue or guidance will likely result in a severe gap down, crushing the bullish options premium.",
+      "entry_price": 78.54000091552734,
+      "discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
+      "status": "open"
+    }
+  ]
+}

data/recommendations/statistics.json

@@ -7,14 +7,14 @@
       "losses_1d": 71,
       "wins_7d": 54,
       "losses_7d": 82,
-      "wins_30d": 33,
+      "wins_30d": 38,
-      "losses_30d": 45,
+      "losses_30d": 54,
       "avg_return_1d": -0.14,
       "avg_return_7d": -0.8,
-      "avg_return_30d": -0.41,
+      "avg_return_30d": 0.02,
       "win_rate_1d": 47.8,
       "win_rate_7d": 39.7,
-      "win_rate_30d": 42.3
+      "win_rate_30d": 41.3
     },
     "early_accumulation": {
       "count": 16,
@@ -23,41 +23,41 @@
       "wins_7d": 6,
       "losses_7d": 8,
       "wins_30d": 2,
-      "losses_30d": 0,
+      "losses_30d": 1,
       "avg_return_1d": 1.86,
       "avg_return_7d": -0.01,
-      "avg_return_30d": 13.48,
+      "avg_return_30d": 8.84,
       "win_rate_1d": 18.8,
       "win_rate_7d": 42.9,
-      "win_rate_30d": 100.0
+      "win_rate_30d": 66.7
     },
     "insider_buying": {
       "count": 103,
-      "wins_1d": 34,
+      "wins_1d": 37,
-      "losses_1d": 62,
+      "losses_1d": 65,
       "wins_7d": 48,
       "losses_7d": 29,
       "wins_30d": 13,
       "losses_30d": 8,
-      "avg_return_1d": -0.1,
+      "avg_return_1d": -0.01,
       "avg_return_7d": 0.64,
       "avg_return_30d": 6.68,
-      "win_rate_1d": 35.4,
+      "win_rate_1d": 36.3,
       "win_rate_7d": 62.3,
       "win_rate_30d": 61.9
     },
     "options_flow": {
       "count": 69,
       "wins_1d": 21,
-      "losses_1d": 46,
+      "losses_1d": 48,
       "wins_7d": 29,
       "losses_7d": 31,
       "wins_30d": 3,
       "losses_30d": 4,
-      "avg_return_1d": -0.0,
+      "avg_return_1d": -0.02,
       "avg_return_7d": -1.03,
       "avg_return_30d": 0.46,
-      "win_rate_1d": 31.3,
+      "win_rate_1d": 30.4,
       "win_rate_7d": 48.3,
       "win_rate_30d": 42.9
     },
@@ -169,12 +169,12 @@
     "social_hype": {
       "count": 13,
       "wins_1d": 0,
-      "losses_1d": 12,
+      "losses_1d": 13,
       "wins_7d": 2,
       "losses_7d": 10,
       "wins_30d": 1,
       "losses_30d": 1,
-      "avg_return_1d": -4.5,
+      "avg_return_1d": -4.15,
       "avg_return_7d": -4.74,
       "avg_return_30d": -3.14,
       "win_rate_1d": 0.0,
@@ -183,24 +183,24 @@
     },
     "social_dd": {
       "count": 20,
-      "wins_1d": 8,
+      "wins_1d": 9,
       "losses_1d": 11,
       "wins_7d": 9,
       "losses_7d": 5,
       "wins_30d": 1,
       "losses_30d": 1,
-      "avg_return_1d": 0.5,
+      "avg_return_1d": 1.03,
       "avg_return_7d": 2.53,
       "avg_return_30d": -0.57,
-      "win_rate_1d": 42.1,
+      "win_rate_1d": 45.0,
       "win_rate_7d": 64.3,
       "win_rate_30d": 50.0
     }
   },
   "overall_1d": {
-    "count": 448,
+    "count": 458,
-    "wins": 167,
+    "wins": 171,
-    "avg_return": -0.43,
+    "avg_return": -0.38,
     "win_rate": 37.3
   },
   "overall_7d": {
@@ -210,9 +210,9 @@
     "win_rate": 45.9
   },
   "overall_30d": {
-    "count": 170,
+    "count": 185,
-    "wins": 74,
+    "wins": 79,
-    "avg_return": -0.11,
+    "avg_return": 0.08,
-    "win_rate": 43.5
+    "win_rate": 42.7
   }
 }