chore: daily discovery 2026-03-12
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{
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"date": "2026-03-12",
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"llm_provider": "google",
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"recommendations": [
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{
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"ticker": "SSP",
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"rank": 1,
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"company_name": "The E.W. Scripps Company",
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"description": "The E.W. Scripps Company operates as a media enterprise through a portfolio of local television stations and national news networks.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 85,
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"confidence": 8,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "Massive insider accumulation provides a strong edge, with 25 transactions totaling $7.37M, including purchases by CEO Adam Symson and multiple 10% owners. The timing is optimal as technicals show a strong uptrend with the price trading above the 50 SMA at $3.72. The risk/reward profile is highly favorable, supported by a bullish divergence in On-Balance Volume signaling clear institutional accumulation. The primary risk is the stock's high volatility (ATR of 8.2%), meaning a break below the 50 SMA could invalidate the momentum.",
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"entry_price": 4.369999885559082,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "VAC",
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"rank": 2,
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"company_name": "Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation",
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"description": "Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation engages in vacation ownership, exchange, rental, and resort and property management globally.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 82,
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"confidence": 8,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "Management conviction is evident with President Michael Flaskey purchasing $999k in shares, perfectly aligning with unusually bullish options flow featuring a P/C ratio of 0.198. Timing is supported by an established technical uptrend, with the price comfortably above the 50 SMA and 200 SMA, alongside a bullish MACD histogram. This setup offers an excellent risk/reward ratio by combining fundamental insider confidence with bullish derivatives positioning. The main risk is a broader macroeconomic slowdown affecting consumer cyclical travel, which could invalidate the thesis if support at $63.47 fails.",
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"entry_price": 66.94999694824219,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "FOUR",
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"rank": 3,
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"company_name": "Shift4 Payments, Inc.",
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"description": "Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides software and payment processing solutions in the United States and internationally.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 78,
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"confidence": 7,
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"risk_level": "high",
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"reason": "The catalyst is a massive $17.6M insider purchase cluster led by 10% owner Jared Isaacman, establishing a strong fundamental floor. The urgency stems from a high short interest of 20.2%, which primes the stock for a violent short squeeze if the insider buying halts the current technical downtrend. The asymmetric risk/reward favors the upside due to the magnitude of capital deployed by insiders against overextended short sellers. The key risk remains the strong technical downtrend; if the stock fails to reclaim its 20 EMA, the downward momentum may override the insider accumulation.",
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"entry_price": 47.619998931884766,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "TGLS",
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"rank": 4,
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"company_name": "Tecnoglass Inc.",
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"description": "Tecnoglass Inc. manufactures, supplies, and installs architectural glass, windows, and aluminum products for commercial and residential construction markets.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 76,
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"confidence": 7,
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"risk_level": "high",
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"reason": "A massive $13.1M purchase by 10% Owner Energy Holding Corp provides a highly credible fundamental catalyst indicating deep value. Despite the stock being in a broader downtrend, timing is critical now as the Stochastic indicator shows a bullish crossover and On-Balance Volume is rising, signaling hidden accumulation. The risk/reward is attractive for a reversal play, bolstered by an 80% bullish consensus among analysts. The primary risk is the stock's high volatility (ATR of 5.4%) and the overarching downtrend, making a tight stop-loss below recent lows essential.",
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"entry_price": 44.7400016784668,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "AA",
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"rank": 5,
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"company_name": "Alcoa Corporation",
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"description": "Alcoa Corporation engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum production businesses globally.",
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"strategy_match": "options_flow",
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"pipeline": "options_flow",
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"final_score": 74,
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"confidence": 7,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "The edge lies in extremely bullish options flow, highlighted by a low P/C ratio of 0.282 and massive unusual call volume at the $25 strike with 1450x Vol/OI. Timing is urgent as the stock demonstrates strong momentum, surging 8.24% daily and breaking out significantly above its 50 SMA ($60.82) with rising On-Balance Volume. The risk/reward is favorable as options participants aggressively position for further upside continuation in an accelerating trend. The main risk is short-term exhaustion, as the price is riding the upper Bollinger Band (107%), making it vulnerable to a quick mean-reversion pullback.",
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"entry_price": 66.23999786376953,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "TTAN",
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"rank": 6,
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"company_name": "ServiceTitan, Inc.",
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"description": "ServiceTitan, Inc. provides an end-to-end cloud-based software platform for trades businesses in the United States and Canada.",
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"strategy_match": "earnings_play",
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"pipeline": "earnings_play",
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"final_score": 70,
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"confidence": 6,
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"risk_level": "speculative",
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"reason": "The catalyst is an imminent earnings report coupled with extremely bullish options flow, boasting a P/C ratio of 0.137 and highly unusual call volume at the $120 and $105 strikes. Timing is immediate due to the binary earnings event today, combined with a 12.2% short interest that creates an explosive squeeze setup. The risk/reward is highly speculative but asymmetric, with options markets heavily pricing in an upside surprise despite the current downtrend. The critical risk is the binary nature of earnings; a miss on revenue or guidance will likely result in a severe gap down, crushing the bullish options premium.",
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"entry_price": 78.54000091552734,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-12",
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"status": "open"
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}
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]
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}
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"losses_1d": 71,
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"wins_7d": 54,
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"losses_7d": 82,
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"wins_30d": 33,
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"losses_30d": 45,
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"wins_30d": 38,
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"losses_30d": 54,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.14,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.8,
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"avg_return_30d": -0.41,
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"avg_return_30d": 0.02,
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"win_rate_1d": 47.8,
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"win_rate_7d": 39.7,
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"win_rate_30d": 42.3
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"win_rate_30d": 41.3
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},
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"early_accumulation": {
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"count": 16,
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@ -23,41 +23,41 @@
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"wins_7d": 6,
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"losses_7d": 8,
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"wins_30d": 2,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 1,
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"avg_return_1d": 1.86,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.01,
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"avg_return_30d": 13.48,
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"avg_return_30d": 8.84,
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"win_rate_1d": 18.8,
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"win_rate_7d": 42.9,
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"win_rate_30d": 100.0
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"win_rate_30d": 66.7
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},
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"insider_buying": {
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"count": 103,
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"wins_1d": 34,
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"losses_1d": 62,
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"wins_1d": 37,
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"losses_1d": 65,
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"wins_7d": 48,
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"losses_7d": 29,
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"wins_30d": 13,
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"losses_30d": 8,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.1,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.01,
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"avg_return_7d": 0.64,
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"avg_return_30d": 6.68,
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"win_rate_1d": 35.4,
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"win_rate_1d": 36.3,
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"win_rate_7d": 62.3,
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"win_rate_30d": 61.9
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},
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"options_flow": {
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"count": 69,
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"wins_1d": 21,
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"losses_1d": 46,
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"losses_1d": 48,
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"wins_7d": 29,
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"losses_7d": 31,
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"wins_30d": 3,
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"losses_30d": 4,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.0,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.02,
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"avg_return_7d": -1.03,
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"avg_return_30d": 0.46,
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"win_rate_1d": 31.3,
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"win_rate_1d": 30.4,
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"win_rate_7d": 48.3,
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"win_rate_30d": 42.9
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},
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"social_hype": {
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"count": 13,
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"wins_1d": 0,
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"losses_1d": 12,
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"losses_1d": 13,
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"wins_7d": 2,
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"losses_7d": 10,
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"wins_30d": 1,
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"losses_30d": 1,
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"avg_return_1d": -4.5,
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"avg_return_1d": -4.15,
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"avg_return_7d": -4.74,
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"avg_return_30d": -3.14,
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"win_rate_1d": 0.0,
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},
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"social_dd": {
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"count": 20,
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"wins_1d": 8,
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"wins_1d": 9,
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"losses_1d": 11,
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"wins_7d": 9,
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"losses_7d": 5,
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"wins_30d": 1,
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"losses_30d": 1,
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"avg_return_1d": 0.5,
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"avg_return_1d": 1.03,
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"avg_return_7d": 2.53,
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"avg_return_30d": -0.57,
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"win_rate_1d": 42.1,
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"win_rate_1d": 45.0,
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"win_rate_7d": 64.3,
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"win_rate_30d": 50.0
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}
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},
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"overall_1d": {
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"count": 448,
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"wins": 167,
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"avg_return": -0.43,
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"count": 458,
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"wins": 171,
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"avg_return": -0.38,
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"win_rate": 37.3
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},
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"overall_7d": {
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"win_rate": 45.9
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},
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"overall_30d": {
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"count": 170,
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"wins": 74,
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"avg_return": -0.11,
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"win_rate": 43.5
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"count": 185,
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"wins": 79,
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"avg_return": 0.08,
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"win_rate": 42.7
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}
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}
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