diff --git a/data/recommendations/performance_database.json b/data/recommendations/performance_database.json index 75a2b976..81851ed1 100644 --- a/data/recommendations/performance_database.json +++ b/data/recommendations/performance_database.json @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ { - "last_updated": "2026-02-22 13:27:43", - "total_recommendations": 330, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22 13:31:47", + "total_recommendations": 345, "recommendations_by_date": { "2026-02-10": [ { @@ -6799,6 +6799,293 @@ "return_1d": 0.0, "win_1d": false } + ], + "2026-02-22": [ + { + "ticker": "FAF", + "rank": 1, + "company_name": "First American Financial Corporation", + "description": "First American Financial Corporation provides financial services, primarily title insurance and settlement services for the real estate industry.", + "strategy_match": "insider_buying", + "pipeline": "insider_buying", + "final_score": 92, + "confidence": 9, + "risk_level": "low", + "reason": "This candidate shows exceptional confluence across multiple signals. A Director recently purchased $4.05M in stock, aligning with a massive bullish options signal showing a P/C ratio of 0.053. Technically, the stock is in a strong uptrend above the 50 SMA and just printed a bullish MACD crossover. The combination of insider conviction and options flow suggests an imminent breakout to the upside.", + "entry_price": 67.36000061035156, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 67.36000061035156, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "KKR", + "rank": 2, + "company_name": "KKR & Co. Inc.", + "description": "KKR & Co. Inc. is a leading global investment firm managing private equity, energy, infrastructure, real estate, and credit asset classes.", + "strategy_match": "insider_buying", + "pipeline": "insider_buying", + "final_score": 90, + "confidence": 9, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "A massive insider buying cluster serves as the primary catalyst, with Co-CEO Scott Nuttall purchasing $12.8M and a total cluster value of over $35M. The stock is technically oversold with an RSI of 32.9, yet displays a bullish MACD crossover, indicating a potential bottom. This level of executive conviction at oversold levels creates a high-probability mean reversion setup. The primary risk is the prevailing downtrend, but the insider volume suggests a floor is near.", + "entry_price": 101.18000030517578, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 101.18000030517578, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "WRB", + "rank": 3, + "company_name": "W. R. Berkley Corporation", + "description": "W. R. Berkley Corporation is an insurance holding company operating in commercial insurance and reinsurance worldwide.", + "strategy_match": "insider_buying", + "pipeline": "insider_buying", + "final_score": 88, + "confidence": 9, + "risk_level": "low", + "reason": "Major shareholder Mitsui Sumitomo has aggressively accumulated stock, purchasing over $40M recently ($69M in the last 3 months). This relentless institutional buying is supported by a technical uptrend where the price remains above key moving averages. The options flow supports this bullish sentiment with a low Put/Call ratio. The steady accumulation suggests strong support at current levels.", + "entry_price": 71.08000183105469, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 71.08000183105469, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "WTI", + "rank": 4, + "company_name": "W&T Offshore, Inc.", + "description": "W&T Offshore, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas producer focused on exploration and development in the Gulf of Mexico.", + "strategy_match": "news_catalyst", + "pipeline": "news_catalyst", + "final_score": 85, + "confidence": 8, + "risk_level": "speculative", + "reason": "Rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions serve as a fundamental catalyst, driving the stock into a strong uptrend (+18% in 5 days). This momentum is backed by highly unusual options flow with a Put/Call ratio of just 0.03. Technicals confirm strength with a bullish MACD crossover and price holding above the 20 EMA. While volatility is high, the confluence of macro news and flow is compelling.", + "entry_price": 2.6700000762939453, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 2.6700000762939453, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "BEN", + "rank": 5, + "company_name": "Franklin Resources, Inc.", + "description": "Franklin Resources, Inc. is a global investment management organization known as Franklin Templeton.", + "strategy_match": "options_flow", + "pipeline": "options_flow", + "final_score": 82, + "confidence": 8, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "Options flow is extremely bullish with a Put/Call ratio of 0.03, indicating aggressive positioning for upside. The stock is in a confirmed strong uptrend, trading above its 50 and 200 SMAs with rising RSI. Recent Director awards/grants signal internal stability. The technical breakout combined with such lopsided options volume points to continued momentum.", + "entry_price": 27.670000076293945, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 27.670000076293945, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "SONO", + "rank": 6, + "company_name": "Sonos, Inc.", + "description": "Sonos, Inc. designs and develops multi-room wireless smart home audio products and sound systems.", + "strategy_match": "insider_buying", + "pipeline": "insider_buying", + "final_score": 80, + "confidence": 8, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "A 10% owner (Coliseum Capital) purchased over $10M in stock, signaling deep value conviction. This is corroborated by bullish options flow with a P/C ratio of 0.133. While the stock is in a downtrend, the combination of significant stakeholder accumulation and bullish betting suggests a reversal is likely. Volatility is high, offering quick upside potential.", + "entry_price": 15.40999984741211, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 15.40999984741211, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "ADBE", + "rank": 7, + "company_name": "Adobe Inc.", + "description": "Adobe Inc. is a diversified software company known for its digital media and digital experience solutions.", + "strategy_match": "options_flow", + "pipeline": "options_flow", + "final_score": 78, + "confidence": 7, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "Adobe presents a classic contrarian opportunity, trading in oversold territory with an RSI of 29.1. Despite the downtrend, a bullish MACD crossover has formed, and options flow is bullish, suggesting smart money is positioning for a bounce. The technical extension to the downside makes this a favorable risk/reward setup for a relief rally.", + "entry_price": 258.6099853515625, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 258.6099853515625, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "MSCI", + "rank": 8, + "company_name": "MSCI Inc.", + "description": "MSCI Inc. provides investment support tools including indices, portfolio risk and performance analytics, and governance tools.", + "strategy_match": "insider_buying", + "pipeline": "insider_buying", + "final_score": 75, + "confidence": 7, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "The CEO recently purchased $3.5M worth of shares, a significant vote of confidence. The stock is currently trading below key moving averages with a low RSI of 44.8, suggesting it is undervalued relative to recent history. Insider buying of this magnitude from the chief executive often precedes a stabilization in price.", + "entry_price": 544.1099853515625, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 544.1099853515625, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "MKSI", + "rank": 9, + "company_name": "MKS Inc.", + "description": "MKS Inc. provides foundational technology solutions to semiconductor manufacturing and advanced industrial markets.", + "strategy_match": "analyst_upgrade", + "pipeline": "analyst_upgrade", + "final_score": 72, + "confidence": 7, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "Following an analyst upgrade and position growth by Vanguard, the stock maintains a strong uptrend above its 50 SMA. Bullish options flow (P/C ratio 0.208) supports the positive sentiment. OBV shows a bullish divergence, indicating accumulation despite recent price chop. The setup favors trend continuation.", + "entry_price": 259.2699890136719, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 259.2699890136719, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "MSFT", + "rank": 10, + "company_name": "Microsoft Corporation", + "description": "Microsoft Corporation is a global technology leader developing software, services, devices, and AI solutions.", + "strategy_match": "insider_buying", + "pipeline": "insider_buying", + "final_score": 70, + "confidence": 7, + "risk_level": "low", + "reason": "A Director purchased nearly $2M in stock, coinciding with the price hitting oversold levels (RSI 32.4). While the stock is in a downtrend, this insider activity in a mega-cap name usually signals a defending of valuation levels. Options flow remains bullish, supporting a potential bounce from these lows.", + "entry_price": 397.2300109863281, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 397.2300109863281, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "BRO", + "rank": 11, + "company_name": "Brown & Brown, Inc.", + "description": "Brown & Brown, Inc. provides insurance products and services through retail, national programs, and wholesale brokerage.", + "strategy_match": "options_flow", + "pipeline": "options_flow", + "final_score": 68, + "confidence": 6, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "Despite a technical downtrend, the stock is flashing a bullish MACD crossover signal. This potential reversal is supported by unusual bullish options flow with a Put/Call ratio of 0.164. The divergence between price action and options sentiment often precedes a snap-back rally.", + "entry_price": 69.58999633789062, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 69.58999633789062, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "VERX", + "rank": 12, + "company_name": "Vertex, Inc.", + "description": "Vertex, Inc. provides enterprise tax technology solutions for retail, wholesale, and manufacturing industries.", + "strategy_match": "insider_buying", + "pipeline": "insider_buying", + "final_score": 65, + "confidence": 6, + "risk_level": "high", + "reason": "A 10% beneficial owner purchased over $5M in stock, stepping in as the price hit deep oversold conditions (RSI 28.1). The stock is in a strong downtrend, making this a high-risk 'falling knife' play, but the insider conviction provides a fundamental backstop. It is a pure value/reversion play.", + "entry_price": 12.739999771118164, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 12.739999771118164, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "YETI", + "rank": 13, + "company_name": "YETI Holdings, Inc.", + "description": "YETI Holdings, Inc. designs and retails premium outdoor products including coolers, drinkware, and accessories.", + "strategy_match": "early_accumulation", + "pipeline": "early_accumulation", + "final_score": 62, + "confidence": 6, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "The stock is in a strong uptrend and recently flashed a bullish divergence on On-Balance Volume (OBV), signaling hidden accumulation. Unusual volume has been detected, often preceding a price breakout. Trading above the 200 SMA and VWAP confirms institutional support.", + "entry_price": 47.68000030517578, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 47.68000030517578, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "ADM", + "rank": 14, + "company_name": "Archer-Daniels-Midland Company", + "description": "Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is a global food processing and commodities trading corporation.", + "strategy_match": "options_flow", + "pipeline": "options_flow", + "final_score": 60, + "confidence": 6, + "risk_level": "moderate", + "reason": "Unusual bullish options flow is the standout signal here, with a Put/Call ratio of just 0.069. Although technicals are mixed with a bearish MACD crossover, the stock remains in a longer-term uptrend above the 50 SMA. The options market is aggressively positioning for upside, contradicting recent short-term weakness.", + "entry_price": 67.87999725341797, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 67.87999725341797, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + }, + { + "ticker": "EVER", + "rank": 15, + "company_name": "EverQuote, Inc.", + "description": "EverQuote, Inc. operates an online marketplace for insurance shopping, connecting consumers with insurance providers.", + "strategy_match": "earnings_play", + "pipeline": "earnings_play", + "final_score": 58, + "confidence": 5, + "risk_level": "speculative", + "reason": "This is a speculative earnings play driven by deep oversold technicals (RSI 27.4). Bullish options flow with a P/C ratio of 0.151 suggests traders are betting on an earnings beat or relief rally. The stock is volatile, but the low entry point offers favorable risk/reward ahead of the report.", + "entry_price": 15.489999771118164, + "discovery_date": "2026-02-22", + "status": "open", + "current_price": 15.489999771118164, + "return_pct": 0.0, + "days_held": 0, + "last_updated": "2026-02-22" + } ] } } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/data/recommendations/statistics.json b/data/recommendations/statistics.json index 6b5cfc3d..258e4bda 100644 --- a/data/recommendations/statistics.json +++ b/data/recommendations/statistics.json @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ { - "total_recommendations": 330, + "total_recommendations": 345, "by_strategy": { "momentum": { "count": 136, @@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ "win_rate_7d": 37.5 }, "early_accumulation": { - "count": 8, + "count": 9, "wins_1d": 3, "losses_1d": 5, "wins_7d": 3, @@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ "win_rate_7d": 50.0 }, "insider_buying": { - "count": 49, + "count": 56, "wins_1d": 28, "losses_1d": 21, "wins_7d": 21, @@ -44,7 +44,7 @@ "win_rate_7d": 72.4 }, "options_flow": { - "count": 42, + "count": 46, "wins_1d": 17, "losses_1d": 25, "wins_7d": 8, @@ -58,7 +58,7 @@ "win_rate_7d": 44.4 }, "earnings_play": { - "count": 39, + "count": 40, "wins_1d": 18, "losses_1d": 21, "wins_7d": 10, @@ -86,7 +86,7 @@ "win_rate_7d": 42.9 }, "news_catalyst": { - "count": 3, + "count": 4, "wins_1d": 0, "losses_1d": 3, "wins_7d": 0, @@ -128,7 +128,7 @@ "win_rate_7d": 28.6 }, "analyst_upgrade": { - "count": 8, + "count": 9, "wins_1d": 6, "losses_1d": 2, "wins_7d": 6,