diff --git a/docs/iterations/hypotheses/active.json b/docs/iterations/hypotheses/active.json index 6ed3446d..d5065687 100644 --- a/docs/iterations/hypotheses/active.json +++ b/docs/iterations/hypotheses/active.json @@ -1,4 +1,23 @@ { "max_active": 5, - "hypotheses": [] + "hypotheses": [ + { + "id": "insider_buying-min-txn-100k", + "scanner": "insider_buying", + "title": "Raise min_transaction_value to $100K", + "description": "Hypothesis: filtering to insider purchases ≥$100K (vs. current $25K) produces higher-quality picks by excluding routine small-lot grants and focusing on high-conviction, out-of-pocket capital deployment. Research (Lakonishok & Lee 2001; Cohen et al. 2012) shows large-value insider buys predict forward returns; small ones do not.", + "branch": "hypothesis/insider_buying-min-txn-100k", + "pr_number": 529, + "status": "running", + "priority": 3, + "expected_impact": "medium", + "hypothesis_type": "implementation", + "created_at": "2026-04-10", + "min_days": 21, + "days_elapsed": 0, + "picks_log": [], + "baseline_scanner": "insider_buying", + "conclusion": null + } + ] }