chore: daily discovery 2026-03-14
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{
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"date": "2026-03-14",
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"llm_provider": "google",
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"recommendations": [
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{
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"ticker": "SBGI",
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"rank": 1,
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"company_name": "Sinclair, Inc.",
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"description": "Sinclair, Inc., a media company, provides content on local television stations and digital platforms in the United States.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 85,
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"confidence": 8,
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"risk_level": "high",
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"reason": "The primary edge is a powerful confluence of a $1.5M insider purchase by the Executive Chairman and a high short interest of 23.3%, creating ripe conditions for a short squeeze. Timing is urgent due to highly unusual bullish options flow, highlighted by a staggering put/call volume ratio of 0.015 and significant call volume targeting the $10.0 strike. The risk/reward profile is highly asymmetrical given the moderate volatility (ATR $0.70) and strong institutional accumulation signals. The key risk to this thesis is the stock's broader technical downtrend; failure to reclaim the 50-day SMA at $14.59 could invalidate the setup and trigger further selling.",
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"entry_price": 14.09000015258789,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-14",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "KOS",
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"rank": 2,
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"company_name": "Kosmos Energy Ltd.",
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"description": "Kosmos Energy Ltd., a deepwater exploration and production company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 82,
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"confidence": 8,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "This setup is driven by a massive cluster of insider buying, highlighted by a $6.0M purchase from a Director, signaling strong fundamental conviction. The timing is optimal as the stock has recently formed a Golden Cross, with the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA, confirming a strong technical uptrend. The risk/reward is attractive for a momentum continuation play, supported by a bullish put/call open interest ratio of 0.275 and unusual call activity at the $5.0 strike. The primary risk is the stock's high volatility (ATR 10.4%); a break below the suggested stop-loss of $1.97 would invalidate the bullish thesis.",
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"entry_price": 2.3299999237060547,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-14",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "FOX",
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"rank": 3,
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"company_name": "Fox Corporation",
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"description": "Fox Corporation operates as a news, sports, and entertainment company in the United States.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 78,
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"confidence": 7,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "The catalyst is a substantial $10.6M open-market purchase by CEO Lachlan Murdoch, providing a strong signal of undervaluation. Timing is compelling as the options market shows extreme bullish positioning with a volume put/call ratio of just 0.09 and the stock trading near oversold territory (RSI 38.3). The risk/reward profile leans bullish for a reversion to the mean, further supported by the stock trading above its 20-period VWAP, indicating short-term institutional buying. The main risk is the prevailing technical downtrend; if the stock fails to hold its recent support low of $48.50, the reversal thesis would be invalidated.",
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"entry_price": 52.029998779296875,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-14",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "CPNG",
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"rank": 4,
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"company_name": "Coupang, Inc.",
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"description": "Coupang, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates retail business through its mobile applications and internet websites in South Korea and internationally.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 75,
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"confidence": 7,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "The standout edge for CPNG is an extraordinary $136.5M insider purchase by Director Neil Mehta, indicating massive fundamental conviction despite recent price weakness. The timing is critical as the stock is testing near-term support levels with an RSI of 43.5, presenting a potential bottoming formation. The risk/reward is favorable for a reversal, as the stock offers moderate volatility (ATR 4.8%) and trades at a deep discount to its 200-day SMA. However, the thesis faces risks from contradictory bearish unusual options activity; heavy put volume at the $24.0 strike could suppress near-term upside if institutional selling persists.",
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"entry_price": 18.450000762939453,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-14",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "POET",
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"rank": 5,
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"company_name": "POET Technologies Inc.",
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"description": "POET Technologies Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products and services for commercial applications in the United States, Canada, Singapore, and China.",
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"strategy_match": "social_dd",
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"pipeline": "social_dd",
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"final_score": 72,
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"confidence": 6,
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"risk_level": "speculative",
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"reason": "This speculative play is fueled by strong social momentum and corroborated by highly unusual bullish options flow, featuring a put/call volume ratio of 0.095. Timing is urgent as the stock is in a confirmed strong uptrend, trading above both its 50-day and 200-day SMAs with rising on-balance volume (OBV). The risk/reward is aggressive but compelling for momentum traders, given the high volatility (ATR 9.2%) and aggressive call buying at the $7.5 and $8.0 strikes. The key risk is the stock's speculative nature and lack of profitability; a drop below the 50-day SMA at $6.61 would signal waning momentum and invalidate the setup.",
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"entry_price": 6.829999923706055,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-14",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "PTLO",
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"rank": 6,
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"company_name": "Portillo's Inc.",
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"description": "Portillo's Inc. owns and operates fast casual restaurants in the United States.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 68,
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"confidence": 6,
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"risk_level": "high",
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"reason": "The edge comes from a $1.48M insider purchase by a Director combined with a high short interest of 17.5%, setting the stage for a potential short-covering rally. The timing is ripe as the stock is exhibiting accelerating short-term momentum, gaining 6.39% over the last 5 days and breaking above its 20-day EMA. The risk/reward profile is skewed to the upside due to high volatility (ATR 5.3%) and bullish options positioning with an open interest put/call ratio of 0.64. The primary risk is the overarching long-term downtrend; failure to break the 50-day SMA resistance at $5.42 could result in a sharp rejection.",
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"entry_price": 5.329999923706055,
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"discovery_date": "2026-03-14",
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"status": "open"
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}
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]
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}
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"losses_1d": 71,
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"wins_7d": 54,
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"losses_7d": 82,
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"wins_30d": 38,
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"losses_30d": 54,
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"wins_30d": 42,
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"losses_30d": 69,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.14,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.8,
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"avg_return_30d": 0.02,
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"avg_return_30d": -1.31,
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"win_rate_1d": 47.8,
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"win_rate_7d": 39.7,
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"win_rate_30d": 41.3
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"win_rate_30d": 37.8
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},
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"early_accumulation": {
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"count": 16,
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"wins_7d": 7,
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"losses_7d": 9,
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"wins_30d": 2,
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"losses_30d": 1,
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"losses_30d": 4,
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"avg_return_1d": 1.86,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.3,
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"avg_return_30d": 8.84,
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"avg_return_30d": -2.51,
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"win_rate_1d": 18.8,
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"win_rate_7d": 43.8,
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"win_rate_30d": 66.7
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"win_rate_30d": 33.3
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},
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"insider_buying": {
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"count": 112,
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"wins_1d": 38,
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"losses_1d": 68,
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"wins_7d": 48,
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"losses_7d": 32,
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"wins_1d": 40,
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"losses_1d": 71,
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"wins_7d": 49,
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"losses_7d": 35,
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"wins_30d": 15,
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"losses_30d": 10,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.12,
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"avg_return_7d": 0.4,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.14,
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"avg_return_7d": 0.25,
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"avg_return_30d": 7.22,
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"win_rate_1d": 35.8,
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"win_rate_7d": 60.0,
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"win_rate_1d": 36.0,
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"win_rate_7d": 58.3,
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"win_rate_30d": 60.0
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},
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"options_flow": {
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"count": 71,
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"wins_1d": 22,
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"losses_1d": 48,
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"losses_1d": 49,
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"wins_7d": 31,
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"losses_7d": 33,
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"losses_7d": 36,
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"wins_30d": 3,
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"losses_30d": 10,
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"avg_return_1d": 0.0,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.9,
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"avg_return_30d": -1.84,
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"win_rate_1d": 31.4,
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"win_rate_7d": 48.4,
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"win_rate_30d": 23.1
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"losses_30d": 12,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.05,
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"avg_return_7d": -1.05,
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"avg_return_30d": -3.52,
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"win_rate_1d": 31.0,
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"win_rate_7d": 46.3,
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"win_rate_30d": 20.0
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},
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"earnings_play": {
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"count": 52,
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"wins_1d": 19,
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"losses_1d": 32,
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"wins_7d": 18,
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"losses_7d": 28,
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"losses_1d": 33,
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"wins_7d": 19,
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"losses_7d": 30,
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"wins_30d": 13,
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"losses_30d": 12,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.98,
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"avg_return_7d": -2.66,
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"avg_return_1d": -1.01,
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"avg_return_7d": -2.34,
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"avg_return_30d": -0.2,
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"win_rate_1d": 37.3,
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"win_rate_7d": 39.1,
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"win_rate_1d": 36.5,
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"win_rate_7d": 38.8,
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"win_rate_30d": 52.0
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},
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"contrarian_value": {
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"wins_1d": 7,
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"losses_1d": 16,
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"wins_7d": 10,
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"losses_7d": 9,
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"losses_7d": 12,
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"wins_30d": 4,
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"losses_30d": 4,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.0,
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"avg_return_7d": -1.11,
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"avg_return_7d": -1.34,
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"avg_return_30d": 3.79,
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"win_rate_1d": 30.4,
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"win_rate_7d": 52.6,
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"win_rate_7d": 45.5,
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"win_rate_30d": 50.0
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},
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"ipo_opportunity": {
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"social_hype": {
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"count": 14,
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"wins_1d": 0,
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"losses_1d": 13,
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"losses_1d": 14,
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"losses_7d": 10,
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"wins_30d": 1,
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"losses_30d": 1,
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"avg_return_1d": -4.15,
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"losses_30d": 2,
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"avg_return_1d": -3.92,
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"avg_return_7d": -4.74,
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"avg_return_30d": -3.14,
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"avg_return_30d": -3.33,
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"win_rate_1d": 0.0,
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"win_rate_7d": 16.7,
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"win_rate_30d": 50.0
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"win_rate_30d": 33.3
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},
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"social_dd": {
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"count": 20,
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"wins_1d": 9,
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"losses_1d": 11,
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"wins_7d": 10,
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"win_rate_1d": 45.0,
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"win_rate_7d": 66.7,
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"win_rate_7d": 58.8,
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"win_rate_30d": 75.0
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}
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},
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"overall_1d": {
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"count": 464,
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"win_rate": 37.3
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"win_rate": 37.1
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"overall_7d": {
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"count": 417,
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}
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}
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