chore: daily discovery 2026-04-08
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{
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"date": "2026-04-08",
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"llm_provider": "google",
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"recommendations": [
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{
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"ticker": "CSCO",
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"rank": 1,
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"company_name": "Cisco Systems, Inc.",
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"description": "Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells networking hardware, telecommunications equipment, and software solutions worldwide.",
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"strategy_match": "analyst_upgrade",
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"pipeline": "analyst_upgrade",
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||||
"final_score": 78,
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"confidence": 8,
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||||
"risk_level": "low",
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"reason": "CSCO benefits from an analyst upgrade by Ethos Capital and incredibly bullish options flow, highlighted by a P/C ratio of 0.057 and massive volume of 36k calls versus just 2.1k puts. Technical momentum is accelerating right now with a fresh bullish MACD crossover, price breaking above the 20 EMA, and rising OBV indicating institutional accumulation. The reward-to-risk profile is highly favorable given the stock's low volatility (ATR of 2.5%) and strong support above the 50 SMA. The primary risk is a cluster of recent insider selling totaling $1.4M and a weak ADX (10.4) that suggests the breakout could be choppy.",
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"entry_price": 82.4749984741211,
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"discovery_date": "2026-04-08",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "NFLX",
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"rank": 2,
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"company_name": "Netflix, Inc.",
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"description": "Netflix, Inc. operates as a premier streaming entertainment service, offering movies, television series, and games globally.",
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"strategy_match": "analyst_upgrade",
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"pipeline": "analyst_upgrade",
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||||
"final_score": 75,
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"confidence": 8,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "NFLX exhibits strong confluence between an analyst upgrade and highly bullish options positioning, boasting a volume P/C ratio of 0.311 and 37k in call volume. The timing is urgent as the stock is in a powerful uptrend (ADX of 39.4) and just registered a bullish MACD crossover alongside rising On-Balance Volume. This creates an attractive momentum setup heading into its earnings report in 8 days, supported by price action holding firmly above the 50 SMA. However, heavy insider selling of $40M by Director Reed Hastings and the binary risk of the impending earnings release could invalidate the technical thesis.",
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"entry_price": 99.2249984741211,
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"discovery_date": "2026-04-08",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "HMH",
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"rank": 3,
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"company_name": "HMH Holding Inc.",
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"description": "HMH Holding Inc. provides specialized offshore and onshore oil and gas drilling equipment, systems, and aftermarket services.",
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"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
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"pipeline": "insider_buying",
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"final_score": 71,
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"confidence": 7,
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"risk_level": "high",
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"reason": "HMH presents a high-conviction fundamental catalyst with a cluster of 4 insiders buying, anchored by a massive $1M open-market purchase from the CFO. The timing is optimal for a mean-reversion trade as the stock is technically exhausted, displaying an extreme RSI of 0.0 and trading near the lower Bollinger Band. This creates an excellent asymmetric reward profile for a sharp bounce, given the direct capital commitment from executives who view the selloff as overdone. The key risk is that the stock remains trapped in a severe technical downtrend with high volatility (ATR 7.1%), and falling OBV confirms lingering institutional distribution.",
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"entry_price": 17.81999969482422,
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"discovery_date": "2026-04-08",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "AA",
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"rank": 4,
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"company_name": "Alcoa Corporation",
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"description": "Alcoa Corporation is a global industry leader in bauxite mining, alumina refining, and primary aluminum production.",
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"strategy_match": "minervini",
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"pipeline": "minervini",
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"final_score": 68,
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"confidence": 7,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "AA is a textbook Minervini Stage 2 uptrend candidate with an elite RS Rating of 94/100, having gained +207% off its 52-week low. Upward momentum is resuming immediately as evidenced by a bullish MACD crossover, rising OBV, and price trading within 6% of 52-week highs, indicating minimal overhead supply. The risk/reward is favorable for trend-following, bolstered by strong institutional support with the price sitting +14.5% above the VWAP. The primary risk stems from elevated put volume on near-term strikes (3.38x Vol/OI at the $47 strike) and an upcoming earnings report in 8 days.",
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"entry_price": 68.44000244140625,
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"discovery_date": "2026-04-08",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "TSLA",
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"rank": 5,
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"company_name": "Tesla, Inc.",
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"description": "Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, alongside energy generation and storage systems.",
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"strategy_match": "options_flow",
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"pipeline": "options_flow",
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"final_score": 60,
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"confidence": 6,
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"risk_level": "high",
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"reason": "TSLA's edge relies on bullish speculative options flow, featuring 7 unusual call trades against 4 puts and an overall call volume of 190k (P/C ratio 0.59). The trade is timely because the stock is significantly oversold (RSI 34.7) and is currently pinned exactly at the lower Bollinger Band ($344.28), a classic pivot area for technical bounces. This offers a moderate-to-high risk mean-reversion opportunity, as options buyers are clearly positioning for a short-term relief rally off support. The thesis is vulnerable to the overarching bearish trend (price below the 50 SMA and 200 SMA) and recent insider selling totaling $9.2M.",
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"entry_price": 351.1260070800781,
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"discovery_date": "2026-04-08",
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"status": "open"
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},
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{
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"ticker": "GME",
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"rank": 6,
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"company_name": "GameStop Corp.",
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"description": "GameStop Corp. is a specialty retailer offering new and pre-owned gaming consoles, software, accessories, and pop culture collectibles.",
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"strategy_match": "social_dd",
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"pipeline": "social_dd",
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"final_score": 56,
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"confidence": 5,
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"risk_level": "speculative",
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"reason": "GME offers a purely speculative momentum setup, driven by a high Social DD score (75/100) and a heavily elevated short interest of 15.7%. Short-term technicals are inflecting positively right now, highlighted by a bullish MACD crossover, rising On-Balance Volume, and a break above the 20 EMA. The risk/reward profile is highly asymmetric, requiring retail volume to trigger a short squeeze for outsized gains. However, the fundamental backdrop is weak with -13.9% revenue growth, and recent insider selling of $330k could easily derail a meme-driven rally.",
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"entry_price": 23.3799991607666,
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"discovery_date": "2026-04-08",
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"status": "open"
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}
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]
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}
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},
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"insider_buying": {
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"count": 173,
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"wins_1d": 63,
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"losses_1d": 107,
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"wins_1d": 64,
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"losses_1d": 108,
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"wins_7d": 73,
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"losses_7d": 86,
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"wins_30d": 26,
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"losses_30d": 63,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.11,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.08,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.42,
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"avg_return_30d": -2.02,
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"win_rate_1d": 37.1,
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"win_rate_1d": 37.2,
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"win_rate_7d": 45.9,
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"win_rate_30d": 29.2
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},
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@ -63,16 +63,16 @@
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},
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"earnings_play": {
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"count": 62,
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"wins_1d": 22,
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"wins_1d": 23,
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"losses_1d": 39,
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"wins_7d": 22,
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"losses_7d": 33,
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"wins_30d": 24,
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"losses_30d": 26,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.62,
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"avg_return_1d": -0.44,
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"avg_return_7d": -2.03,
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"avg_return_30d": -2.0,
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"win_rate_1d": 36.1,
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"win_rate_1d": 37.1,
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"win_rate_7d": 40.0,
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"win_rate_30d": 48.0
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},
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@ -139,7 +139,7 @@
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"analyst_upgrade": {
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"count": 32,
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"wins_1d": 11,
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"losses_1d": 20,
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"losses_1d": 21,
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"wins_7d": 12,
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"losses_7d": 13,
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"wins_30d": 7,
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@ -147,7 +147,7 @@
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"avg_return_1d": 0.09,
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"avg_return_7d": -0.9,
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"avg_return_30d": -3.64,
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"win_rate_1d": 35.5,
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"win_rate_1d": 34.4,
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"win_rate_7d": 48.0,
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"win_rate_30d": 30.4
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},
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@ -198,22 +198,23 @@
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},
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"minervini": {
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"count": 1,
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"wins_1d": 0,
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"wins_1d": 1,
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"losses_1d": 0,
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"wins_7d": 0,
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"losses_7d": 0,
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"wins_30d": 0,
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"losses_30d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": 0,
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"avg_return_1d": 1.61,
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"avg_return_7d": 0,
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"avg_return_30d": 0
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"avg_return_30d": 0,
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"win_rate_1d": 100.0
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}
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},
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"overall_1d": {
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"count": 585,
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"wins": 221,
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"avg_return": -0.3,
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"win_rate": 37.8
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"count": 590,
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"wins": 224,
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"avg_return": -0.27,
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"win_rate": 38.0
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},
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"overall_7d": {
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"count": 554,
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{
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"trade_date": "2026-04-08",
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"tickers": [
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"ALB",
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"AMAT",
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"APA",
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"AA",
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"AMD",
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"AVGO",
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"AKAM",
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"ADM",
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"AME",
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"BAC",
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"SVRE",
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"SVC",
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"OSCR",
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"BNR",
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"ECAT",
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"HMH",
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"RPAY",
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"FGBI",
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"VVOS",
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"EJH",
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"SCVL",
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"ANVS",
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"GF",
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"FUL",
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"HUIZ",
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"PRHI",
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"LCFY",
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"MKZR",
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"XZO",
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"SWZ",
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"TMUS",
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"ANET",
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"PEP",
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"NFLX",
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"MS",
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"CSCO",
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"PANW",
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"CRWD",
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"ADI",
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"TSLA",
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"AMZN",
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"GOOGL",
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"META",
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"NVDA",
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"IBM",
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"MSFT",
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"AAPL",
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"GOOG",
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"ORCL",
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"AXP",
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"EIX",
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"HBAN",
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"AIMD",
|
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"GME",
|
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"ALCJ",
|
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"TACO",
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"BYD",
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"US",
|
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"CBC",
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"CLW",
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"RIP",
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"THEN",
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"II"
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],
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"filtered_tickers": [
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"ALB",
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"AA",
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"HMH",
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"FUL",
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"AKAM",
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"SWZ",
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"PEP",
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"NFLX",
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"CSCO",
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"AME",
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"TSLA",
|
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"AMZN",
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"NVDA",
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"IBM",
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"MSFT",
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"AAPL",
|
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"ORCL",
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"GME",
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"TACO",
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"BYD"
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],
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"final_ranking": [
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{
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"rank": 1,
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"ticker": "CSCO",
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"company_name": "Cisco Systems, Inc.",
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"current_price": 82.63500213623047,
|
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"strategy_match": "analyst_upgrade",
|
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"final_score": 78,
|
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"confidence": 8,
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"risk_level": "low",
|
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"reason": "CSCO benefits from an analyst upgrade by Ethos Capital and incredibly bullish options flow, highlighted by a P/C ratio of 0.057 and massive volume of 36k calls versus just 2.1k puts. Technical momentum is accelerating right now with a fresh bullish MACD crossover, price breaking above the 20 EMA, and rising OBV indicating institutional accumulation. The reward-to-risk profile is highly favorable given the stock's low volatility (ATR of 2.5%) and strong support above the 50 SMA. The primary risk is a cluster of recent insider selling totaling $1.4M and a weak ADX (10.4) that suggests the breakout could be choppy.",
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"description": "Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells networking hardware, telecommunications equipment, and software solutions worldwide."
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},
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{
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"rank": 2,
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"ticker": "NFLX",
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"company_name": "Netflix, Inc.",
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"current_price": 99.05500030517578,
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"strategy_match": "analyst_upgrade",
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"final_score": 75,
|
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"confidence": 8,
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"risk_level": "moderate",
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"reason": "NFLX exhibits strong confluence between an analyst upgrade and highly bullish options positioning, boasting a volume P/C ratio of 0.311 and 37k in call volume. The timing is urgent as the stock is in a powerful uptrend (ADX of 39.4) and just registered a bullish MACD crossover alongside rising On-Balance Volume. This creates an attractive momentum setup heading into its earnings report in 8 days, supported by price action holding firmly above the 50 SMA. However, heavy insider selling of $40M by Director Reed Hastings and the binary risk of the impending earnings release could invalidate the technical thesis.",
|
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"description": "Netflix, Inc. operates as a premier streaming entertainment service, offering movies, television series, and games globally."
|
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},
|
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{
|
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"rank": 3,
|
||||
"ticker": "HMH",
|
||||
"company_name": "HMH Holding Inc.",
|
||||
"current_price": 17.860000610351562,
|
||||
"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
|
||||
"final_score": 71,
|
||||
"confidence": 7,
|
||||
"risk_level": "high",
|
||||
"reason": "HMH presents a high-conviction fundamental catalyst with a cluster of 4 insiders buying, anchored by a massive $1M open-market purchase from the CFO. The timing is optimal for a mean-reversion trade as the stock is technically exhausted, displaying an extreme RSI of 0.0 and trading near the lower Bollinger Band. This creates an excellent asymmetric reward profile for a sharp bounce, given the direct capital commitment from executives who view the selloff as overdone. The key risk is that the stock remains trapped in a severe technical downtrend with high volatility (ATR 7.1%), and falling OBV confirms lingering institutional distribution.",
|
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"description": "HMH Holding Inc. provides specialized offshore and onshore oil and gas drilling equipment, systems, and aftermarket services."
|
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},
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{
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"rank": 4,
|
||||
"ticker": "AA",
|
||||
"company_name": "Alcoa Corporation",
|
||||
"current_price": 68.55999755859375,
|
||||
"strategy_match": "minervini",
|
||||
"final_score": 68,
|
||||
"confidence": 7,
|
||||
"risk_level": "moderate",
|
||||
"reason": "AA is a textbook Minervini Stage 2 uptrend candidate with an elite RS Rating of 94/100, having gained +207% off its 52-week low. Upward momentum is resuming immediately as evidenced by a bullish MACD crossover, rising OBV, and price trading within 6% of 52-week highs, indicating minimal overhead supply. The risk/reward is favorable for trend-following, bolstered by strong institutional support with the price sitting +14.5% above the VWAP. The primary risk stems from elevated put volume on near-term strikes (3.38x Vol/OI at the $47 strike) and an upcoming earnings report in 8 days.",
|
||||
"description": "Alcoa Corporation is a global industry leader in bauxite mining, alumina refining, and primary aluminum production."
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"rank": 5,
|
||||
"ticker": "TSLA",
|
||||
"company_name": "Tesla, Inc.",
|
||||
"current_price": 351.3550109863281,
|
||||
"strategy_match": "options_flow",
|
||||
"final_score": 60,
|
||||
"confidence": 6,
|
||||
"risk_level": "high",
|
||||
"reason": "TSLA's edge relies on bullish speculative options flow, featuring 7 unusual call trades against 4 puts and an overall call volume of 190k (P/C ratio 0.59). The trade is timely because the stock is significantly oversold (RSI 34.7) and is currently pinned exactly at the lower Bollinger Band ($344.28), a classic pivot area for technical bounces. This offers a moderate-to-high risk mean-reversion opportunity, as options buyers are clearly positioning for a short-term relief rally off support. The thesis is vulnerable to the overarching bearish trend (price below the 50 SMA and 200 SMA) and recent insider selling totaling $9.2M.",
|
||||
"description": "Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, alongside energy generation and storage systems."
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"rank": 6,
|
||||
"ticker": "GME",
|
||||
"company_name": "GameStop Corp.",
|
||||
"current_price": 23.360000610351562,
|
||||
"strategy_match": "social_dd",
|
||||
"final_score": 56,
|
||||
"confidence": 5,
|
||||
"risk_level": "speculative",
|
||||
"reason": "GME offers a purely speculative momentum setup, driven by a high Social DD score (75/100) and a heavily elevated short interest of 15.7%. Short-term technicals are inflecting positively right now, highlighted by a bullish MACD crossover, rising On-Balance Volume, and a break above the 20 EMA. The risk/reward profile is highly asymmetric, requiring retail volume to trigger a short squeeze for outsized gains. However, the fundamental backdrop is weak with -13.9% revenue growth, and recent insider selling of $330k could easily derail a meme-driven rally.",
|
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"description": "GameStop Corp. is a specialty retailer offering new and pre-owned gaming consoles, software, accessories, and pop culture collectibles."
|
||||
}
|
||||
],
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||||
"status": "ranked"
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||||
}
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@ -0,0 +1,174 @@
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# Discovery Analysis - 2026-04-08
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**LLM Provider**: GOOGLE
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**Models**: Shallow=gemini-2.5-flash-lite, Deep=gemini-3-pro-preview
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## Top Investment Opportunities
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||||
### #1: CSCO
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|
||||
**Company:** Cisco Systems, Inc.
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**Current Price:** $82.64
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||||
**Strategy:** analyst_upgrade
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||||
|
||||
**Score:** 78 | **Confidence:** 8/10 | **Risk:** Low
|
||||
|
||||
**Description:**
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||||
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||||
> Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells networking hardware, telecommunications equipment, and software solutions worldwide.
|
||||
|
||||
**Investment Thesis:**
|
||||
|
||||
CSCO benefits from an analyst upgrade by Ethos Capital and incredibly bullish options flow, highlighted by a P/C ratio of 0.057 and massive volume of 36k calls versus just 2.1k puts.
|
||||
|
||||
Technical momentum is accelerating right now with a fresh bullish MACD crossover, price breaking above the 20 EMA, and rising OBV indicating institutional accumulation.
|
||||
|
||||
The reward-to-risk profile is highly favorable given the stock's low volatility (ATR of 2.5%) and strong support above the 50 SMA.
|
||||
|
||||
The primary risk is a cluster of recent insider selling totaling $1.4M and a weak ADX (10.4) that suggests the breakout could be choppy.
|
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|
||||
---
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||||
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||||
### #2: NFLX
|
||||
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||||
**Company:** Netflix, Inc.
|
||||
|
||||
**Current Price:** $99.06
|
||||
|
||||
**Strategy:** analyst_upgrade
|
||||
|
||||
**Score:** 75 | **Confidence:** 8/10 | **Risk:** Moderate
|
||||
|
||||
**Description:**
|
||||
|
||||
> Netflix, Inc. operates as a premier streaming entertainment service, offering movies, television series, and games globally.
|
||||
|
||||
**Investment Thesis:**
|
||||
|
||||
NFLX exhibits strong confluence between an analyst upgrade and highly bullish options positioning, boasting a volume P/C ratio of 0.311 and 37k in call volume.
|
||||
|
||||
The timing is urgent as the stock is in a powerful uptrend (ADX of 39.4) and just registered a bullish MACD crossover alongside rising On-Balance Volume.
|
||||
|
||||
This creates an attractive momentum setup heading into its earnings report in 8 days, supported by price action holding firmly above the 50 SMA.
|
||||
|
||||
However, heavy insider selling of $40M by Director Reed Hastings and the binary risk of the impending earnings release could invalidate the technical thesis.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### #3: HMH
|
||||
|
||||
**Company:** HMH Holding Inc.
|
||||
|
||||
**Current Price:** $17.86
|
||||
|
||||
**Strategy:** insider_buying
|
||||
|
||||
**Score:** 71 | **Confidence:** 7/10 | **Risk:** High
|
||||
|
||||
**Description:**
|
||||
|
||||
> HMH Holding Inc. provides specialized offshore and onshore oil and gas drilling equipment, systems, and aftermarket services.
|
||||
|
||||
**Investment Thesis:**
|
||||
|
||||
HMH presents a high-conviction fundamental catalyst with a cluster of 4 insiders buying, anchored by a massive $1M open-market purchase from the CFO.
|
||||
|
||||
The timing is optimal for a mean-reversion trade as the stock is technically exhausted, displaying an extreme RSI of 0.0 and trading near the lower Bollinger Band.
|
||||
|
||||
This creates an excellent asymmetric reward profile for a sharp bounce, given the direct capital commitment from executives who view the selloff as overdone.
|
||||
|
||||
The key risk is that the stock remains trapped in a severe technical downtrend with high volatility (ATR 7.1%), and falling OBV confirms lingering institutional distribution.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### #4: AA
|
||||
|
||||
**Company:** Alcoa Corporation
|
||||
|
||||
**Current Price:** $68.56
|
||||
|
||||
**Strategy:** minervini
|
||||
|
||||
**Score:** 68 | **Confidence:** 7/10 | **Risk:** Moderate
|
||||
|
||||
**Description:**
|
||||
|
||||
> Alcoa Corporation is a global industry leader in bauxite mining, alumina refining, and primary aluminum production.
|
||||
|
||||
**Investment Thesis:**
|
||||
|
||||
AA is a textbook Minervini Stage 2 uptrend candidate with an elite RS Rating of 94/100, having gained +207% off its 52-week low.
|
||||
|
||||
Upward momentum is resuming immediately as evidenced by a bullish MACD crossover, rising OBV, and price trading within 6% of 52-week highs, indicating minimal overhead supply.
|
||||
|
||||
The risk/reward is favorable for trend-following, bolstered by strong institutional support with the price sitting +14.5% above the VWAP.
|
||||
|
||||
The primary risk stems from elevated put volume on near-term strikes (3.38x Vol/OI at the $47 strike) and an upcoming earnings report in 8 days.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### #5: TSLA
|
||||
|
||||
**Company:** Tesla, Inc.
|
||||
|
||||
**Current Price:** $351.36
|
||||
|
||||
**Strategy:** options_flow
|
||||
|
||||
**Score:** 60 | **Confidence:** 6/10 | **Risk:** High
|
||||
|
||||
**Description:**
|
||||
|
||||
> Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, alongside energy generation and storage systems.
|
||||
|
||||
**Investment Thesis:**
|
||||
|
||||
TSLA's edge relies on bullish speculative options flow, featuring 7 unusual call trades against 4 puts and an overall call volume of 190k (P/C ratio 0.59).
|
||||
|
||||
The trade is timely because the stock is significantly oversold (RSI 34.7) and is currently pinned exactly at the lower Bollinger Band ($344.28), a classic pivot area for technical bounces.
|
||||
|
||||
This offers a moderate-to-high risk mean-reversion opportunity, as options buyers are clearly positioning for a short-term relief rally off support.
|
||||
|
||||
The thesis is vulnerable to the overarching bearish trend (price below the 50 SMA and 200 SMA) and recent insider selling totaling $9.2M.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### #6: GME
|
||||
|
||||
**Company:** GameStop Corp.
|
||||
|
||||
**Current Price:** $23.36
|
||||
|
||||
**Strategy:** social_dd
|
||||
|
||||
**Score:** 56 | **Confidence:** 5/10 | **Risk:** Speculative
|
||||
|
||||
**Description:**
|
||||
|
||||
> GameStop Corp. is a specialty retailer offering new and pre-owned gaming consoles, software, accessories, and pop culture collectibles.
|
||||
|
||||
**Investment Thesis:**
|
||||
|
||||
GME offers a purely speculative momentum setup, driven by a high Social DD score (75/100) and a heavily elevated short interest of 15.7%.
|
||||
|
||||
Short-term technicals are inflecting positively right now, highlighted by a bullish MACD crossover, rising On-Balance Volume, and a break above the 20 EMA.
|
||||
|
||||
The risk/reward profile is highly asymmetric, requiring retail volume to trigger a short squeeze for outsized gains.
|
||||
|
||||
However, the fundamental backdrop is weak with -13.9% revenue growth, and recent insider selling of $330k could easily derail a meme-driven rally.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
## All Candidates Analyzed
|
||||
|
||||
Total candidates analyzed: 6
|
||||
|
||||
- **CSCO** (analyst_upgrade)
|
||||
- **NFLX** (analyst_upgrade)
|
||||
- **HMH** (insider_buying)
|
||||
- **AA** (minervini)
|
||||
- **TSLA** (options_flow)
|
||||
- **GME** (social_dd)
|
||||
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File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
Loading…
Reference in New Issue