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chore: update performance tracking 2026-04-15

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github-actions[bot] 2026-04-15 06:18:47 +00:00
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commit 122b346660
2 changed files with 194 additions and 6 deletions
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156
data/recommendations/performance_database.json
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@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
{
"last_updated": "2026-04-15 06:14:41",
"total_recommendations": 641,
"last_updated": "2026-04-15 06:18:47",
"total_recommendations": 651,
"recommendations_by_date": {
"2026-02-10": [
{
@ -14874,6 +14874,158 @@
"return_1d": 3.56,
"win_1d": true
}
],
"2026-04-15": [
{
"ticker": "ANAB",
"rank": 1,
"company_name": "AnaptysBio",
"description": "Clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on immunology and inflammation therapeutics.",
"strategy_match": "short_squeeze",
"pipeline": "short_squeeze",
"final_score": 95,
"confidence": 9,
"risk_level": "high",
"reason": "ANAB perfectly aligns a hard fundamental catalyst with an extreme short squeeze setup. The company's spin-off into First Tracks Biotherapeutics is effective April 20 (in 5 days), providing an urgent mechanism to force covering of the 30.6% short interest (9.8 days to cover). Technicals heavily support the upside, featuring a MACD bullish crossover, rising OBV (16.3M), and the price holding a strong 19.8% above its 50 SMA. The primary risk is high volatility (ATR of $4.18) and the potential for a 'sell the news' reaction post-spin-off.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "ORCL",
"rank": 2,
"company_name": "Oracle Corporation",
"description": "Multinational computer technology corporation known for its enterprise software, cloud computing, and database products.",
"strategy_match": "technical_breakout",
"pipeline": "technical_breakout",
"final_score": 88,
"confidence": 8,
"risk_level": "moderate",
"reason": "ORCL recently broke out, closing 2.9% above its 20-day high on 2.5x average volume following news of an AI utility platform and a Bloom Energy partnership. The technical posture is highly robust, trading 8.8% above its 50 SMA with a fresh MACD bullish crossover and rising on-balance volume. The fundamental catalyst of AI monetization combined with heavy volume confirmation signals strong institutional sponsorship. The main risk is short-term mean reversion as it currently trades near the upper Bollinger Band (109% position).",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "RPAY",
"rank": 3,
"company_name": "Repay Holdings",
"description": "Provider of integrated payment processing solutions to industry-specific markets.",
"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
"pipeline": "insider_buying",
"final_score": 82,
"confidence": 8,
"risk_level": "moderate",
"reason": "RPAY presents a compelling alignment of insider buying and activist pressure, with 10% owner Forager Fund recently purchasing $2.4M in stock. This coincides with the company adopting a poison pill to defend against activist accumulation, creating a strong fundamental floor and catalyst for value realization. Technicals show a supportive base with a MACD bullish crossover, rising OBV, and price trading 3.6% above the 50 SMA. Given its low share price, volatility is inherent, but the activist narrative heavily skews the risk/reward to the upside.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "ARCT",
"rank": 4,
"company_name": "Arcturus Therapeutics",
"description": "Clinical-stage mRNA medicines and vaccines company.",
"strategy_match": "short_squeeze",
"pipeline": "short_squeeze",
"final_score": 78,
"confidence": 7,
"risk_level": "high",
"reason": "ARCT screens exceptionally well for a short squeeze, heavily burdened with 31.5% of its float sold short and a massive 12.7 days to cover. Technical confirmation is highly present as the stock remains in a confirmed uptrend, trading 15.5% above its 50 SMA with rising on-balance volume and a bullish RSI of 67.1. Because of the extended days-to-cover ratio, any positive PR could ignite a rapid covering cycle. Binary biotech risks and a high ATR (5.5% of price) warrant careful position sizing.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "SG",
"rank": 5,
"company_name": "Sweetgreen",
"description": "Fast-casual restaurant chain specializing in custom salads and warm bowls.",
"strategy_match": "insider_buying",
"pipeline": "insider_buying",
"final_score": 76,
"confidence": 7,
"risk_level": "high",
"reason": "SG saw heavy institutional conviction with Goldman Sachs acquiring $3.38M in stock, a massive signal for a company of this market cap. The technical setup strongly confirms this accumulation, featuring a MACD bullish crossover, rising OBV, and a strong uptrend (+11.1% above 50 SMA). The 8% intraday move indicates momentum is already aggressively accelerating. The primary risk is chasing the extended move near the upper Bollinger Band (97% position), which could lead to short-term pullbacks.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "RPM",
"rank": 6,
"company_name": "RPM International",
"description": "Manufacturer of specialty coatings, sealants, building materials, and related services.",
"strategy_match": "pead_drift",
"pipeline": "pead_drift",
"final_score": 74,
"confidence": 7,
"risk_level": "low",
"reason": "RPM delivered a massive 59.9% earnings surprise 7 days ago, leaving the window wide open for post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD). While the price has remained relatively flat over the last 5 days (-0.05%), the OBV is showing a bullish divergence (rising to 1.7M), indicating quiet institutional accumulation. The stock remains in a steady uptrend above its 50 SMA with low volatility (3.3% ATR). A failure to break near-term Fibonacci resistance at $110.76 could stall momentum, but downside appears limited.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "NI",
"rank": 7,
"company_name": "NiSource Inc.",
"description": "Energy holding company providing natural gas and electricity.",
"strategy_match": "volume_divergence",
"pipeline": "volume_divergence",
"final_score": 72,
"confidence": 7,
"risk_level": "low",
"reason": "NI exhibits a classic multi-week accumulation setup, with OBV running +24.2% above average volume despite a relatively flat 20-day price trend. Technicals confirm the underlying institutional buying, showing a bullish OBV divergence (133.2M) and price holding 2.0% above the 50 SMA. This low-volatility (1.8% ATR) setup provides a safe, asymmetric entry for a defensive stock. The primary risk is macroeconomic sector rotation away from utilities if bond yields spike.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "SRPT",
"rank": 8,
"company_name": "Sarepta Therapeutics",
"description": "Commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on precision genetic medicine.",
"strategy_match": "social_dd",
"pipeline": "social_dd",
"final_score": 70,
"confidence": 6,
"risk_level": "moderate",
"reason": "SRPT combines strong social sentiment with excellent technical confirmation, trading in a steady uptrend 17.2% above its 50 SMA. Momentum indicators are heavily supportive, with a bullish MACD, rising OBV (52.8M), and price holding comfortably above the 20 EMA. The 'social_dd' scanner's 55% historical 30-day win rate adds statistical edge to the setup. As with any biotech, unforeseen clinical or regulatory developments remain the primary downside risk.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "RELL",
"rank": 9,
"company_name": "Richardson Electronics",
"description": "Distributor of electronic components and enterprise computing solutions.",
"strategy_match": "pead_drift",
"pipeline": "pead_drift",
"final_score": 68,
"confidence": 6,
"risk_level": "high",
"reason": "RELL is in the midst of a strong PEAD move after beating earnings estimates by 52.5% 7 days ago. The stock is up 15.3% over the last 5 days, supported by rising OBV (4.0M) and a bullish MACD, and is trading firmly above its 50 SMA (+12.5%). While the momentum is powerful, the stock is trading near its upper Bollinger Band (92% position) with high volatility (6.5% ATR), which warrants caution against sudden mean-reversion pullbacks.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
},
{
"ticker": "DTE",
"rank": 10,
"company_name": "DTE Energy",
"description": "Diversified energy company involved in the development and management of energy-related businesses.",
"strategy_match": "volume_divergence",
"pipeline": "volume_divergence",
"final_score": 68,
"confidence": 6,
"risk_level": "low",
"reason": "DTE shares a highly similar setup to NI, showing a clear bullish OBV divergence (+23.9% of avg vol) against a flat 20-day price trend. The technical posture is resilient, with the stock in a strong uptrend and trading 2.4% above its 50 SMA. With earnings approaching in 8 days, this quiet accumulation suggests institutions are positioning for a strong print. The extremely low ATR (1.7%) makes this a defensive play, though the impending earnings date introduces binary event risk.",
"entry_price": null,
"discovery_date": "2026-04-15",
"status": "open"
}
]
}
}

44
data/recommendations/statistics.json
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@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
{
"total_recommendations": 641,
"total_recommendations": 651,
"by_strategy": {
"momentum": {
"count": 136,
@ -32,7 +32,7 @@
"win_rate_30d": 31.2
},
"insider_buying": {
"count": 186,
"count": 188,
"wins_1d": 68,
"losses_1d": 108,
"wins_7d": 82,
@ -107,7 +107,7 @@
"win_rate_30d": 20.0
},
"short_squeeze": {
"count": 13,
"count": 15,
"wins_1d": 5,
"losses_1d": 5,
"wins_7d": 6,
@ -182,7 +182,7 @@
"win_rate_30d": 14.3
},
"social_dd": {
"count": 28,
"count": 29,
"wins_1d": 13,
"losses_1d": 13,
"wins_7d": 12,
@ -209,6 +209,42 @@
"avg_return_30d": 0,
"win_rate_1d": 100.0,
"win_rate_7d": 100.0
},
"technical_breakout": {
"count": 1,
"wins_1d": 0,
"losses_1d": 0,
"wins_7d": 0,
"losses_7d": 0,
"wins_30d": 0,
"losses_30d": 0,
"avg_return_1d": 0,
"avg_return_7d": 0,
"avg_return_30d": 0
},
"pead_drift": {
"count": 2,
"wins_1d": 0,
"losses_1d": 0,
"wins_7d": 0,
"losses_7d": 0,
"wins_30d": 0,
"losses_30d": 0,
"avg_return_1d": 0,
"avg_return_7d": 0,
"avg_return_30d": 0
},
"volume_divergence": {
"count": 2,
"wins_1d": 0,
"losses_1d": 0,
"wins_7d": 0,
"losses_7d": 0,
"wins_30d": 0,
"losses_30d": 0,
"avg_return_1d": 0,
"avg_return_7d": 0,
"avg_return_30d": 0
}
},
"overall_1d": {